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25.01.2022 ** UPDATED ** This warning has been updated. Latest information: http://www.bom.gov.au/vic/warnings/ **... SEVERE WEATHER WARNING for HEAVY RAINFALL is current for people in Central, West and South Gippsland and parts of East Gippsland, South West, North Central and North East Forecast Districts. Weather Situation: A trough over western Victoria will continue moving slowly east throughout Monday, clearing central districts around midday and eastern Victoria this afternoon. HEAVY RAINFALL which may lead to FLASH FLOODING is currently falling across central and western parts of the warning area. Heavy rainfall is moving eastward, expected to ease around the Melbourne area around midday while extending to eastern parts of the warning area this morning. Locations which may be affected include Ballarat, Geelong, Melbourne, Traralgon, Moe and Bairnsdale. In the hour to 6am, Moorabbin recorded 27mm of rain. The State Emergency Service advises that people should: * Be aware that in fire affected areas, rainfall run-off into waterways may contain debris such as ash, soil, trees and rocks. * Be alert that in areas recently affected by fires, heavy rainfall increases the potential for landslides and debris across roads. * Check that loose items such as outdoor settings, umbrellas and trampolines are safely secured and move vehicles under cover or away from trees. * Stay indoors and away from windows. * If outdoors, move to a safe place indoors. Stay away from trees, drains, gutters, creeks and waterways. * If driving conditions are dangerous, safely pull over away from trees, drains, low-lying areas and floodwater. Avoid travel if possible. * Stay safe by avoiding dangerous hazards, such as floodwater, mud, debris, damaged roads and fallen trees. * Stay away from fallen powerlines always assume they are live. * Stay informed monitor weather warnings, forecasts and river levels at the Bureau of Meteorology website, and warnings through VicEmergency.

24.01.2022 41.5 mm Alexandra to 0050 hrs Sat. 6/2/21 (78.5 last week, total of 120mm from 28/1/21) !41.5 mm Alexandra to 0050 hrs Sat. 6/2/21 (78.5 last week, total of 120mm from 28/1/21) !

24.01.2022 Becoming windy layer Saturday. Warning issued:-

23.01.2022 * A DEEPENING TROUGH, COLD FRONT AND LOW TO BRING HEAVY RAINFALL TO CENTRAL AND EASTERN PARTS OF VICTORIA ON FRIDAY WITH THE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS, DAMAG...ING WINDS AND FLOODING * TODAY - A cold front and complex low pressure system is expected to approach Victoria today, with the risk of thunderstorms over eastern Victoria this afternoon and evening. These storms may produce heavy rainfall. FRIDAY is expected to be an active day across central and eastern Victoria with a low pressure system entering western Bass Strait, a cold front moving through Victoria, and a trough with humid and unstable conditions across central and eastern Vic. Thunderstorms and rain areas will develop across central and eastern Victoria on Friday with 15-50mm likely central districts and 50-100mm in the northeast. There is also the risk of significantly higher falls with storms resulting in flash flooding. Riverine rises are also possible in northeastern and central catchments Friday onwards, and flood watches/warnings may be issued. The bureau has already issued a severe weather warning for DAMAGING WINDS and HEAVY RAINFALL for people in Central, North Central, North East and parts of East Gippsland, Northern Country and West and South Gippsland Forecast Districts. Numerous warnings are current for parts of Victoria and can be found here: https://reg.bom.gov.au/vic/warnings. Image 1 - Predicted rainfall totals according to the ECWWF model (as processed by Weatherzone) for the period 10 am Thursday, 4th January to 11 pm Saturday, 6th February. Image 2 - Prognosis chart for Friday, 5th February 2021 from the Bureau of Meteorology. - Nick -

23.01.2022 * A RETURN OF WINTER FOR VICTORIA * A low-pressure trough tracking across Victoria will generate showers across southern and mountain districts during today wit...h thunderstorms also forecast for the north and east this afternoon. A low-pressure system with an associated front will approach western Victoria on Thursday generating showers in the west during the afternoon. This system will then surge across Victoria on Friday, generating widespread showers, local thunderstorms and snow down to 800 metres. Melbourne is expecting a top temperature of only 12C on Friday, with a chance of a thunderstorm with hail. The image shows the accumulated rainfall expected from 10 pm Tuesday until 10 pm Saturday, with much of this falling on Friday, as the front passes across. This is from the ECMWF model as processed by Weatherzone. - Dick Whitaker, Meteorologist -

21.01.2022 * SEVERE WEATHER WARNING * * FOR DAMAGING WINDS and HEAVY RAINFALL * For people in Central, North Central, North East and parts of East Gippsland, Northern Coun...try and West and South Gippsland Forecast Districts. Issued at 9:36 am Thursday, 4 February 2021. Heavy rain and damaging winds developing on Friday. Weather Situation: A low pressure system south of the Bight will move slowly east today, with an associated trough crossing Victoria on Friday, DAMAGING WINDS, averaging 60 to 70 km/h with peak gusts of around 90 km/h are expected to develop across central and elevated parts of eastern Victoria before dawn on Friday. Gusts may reach 100 km/h across the higher peaks (above 1500 metres). DAMAGING WINDS are expected to ease below warning threshold across central parts of the State during Friday afternoon and in the east during the early hours of Saturday. HEAVY RAINFALL which may lead to FLASH FLOODING is expected to develop central parts of the State during the morning before slowly contracting to northeastern Victoria during the evening. HEAVY RAIN is expected to clear the State on Saturday morning. Six hour totals of 20-40mm are possible across the warning area, with falls of 40-70mm likely across the northeast ranges. Thunderstorm activity may also contribute to locally higher falls. Isolated totals of 100mm are possible across elevated areas of the northeast. A Flood Watch will be issued for catchments across parts of northeastern Victoria. Locations which may be affected include Bendigo, Shepparton, Seymour, Maryborough, Ballarat, Geelong, Melbourne, Wodonga and Wangaratta.

21.01.2022 From the Weather Bureau: Thunderstorm FORECAST map for Victoria for Thursday, 17/12/20:- (Alexandra District in the ‘severe thunderstorm likely’ area.).

21.01.2022 The thunderstorm forecast below is the CURRENT thunderstorm forecast for tomorrow (Monday, 21 September 2020) from the Bureau of Meteorology. NOTE: This thunder...storm forecast is valid from midnight tonight until midnight on Monday, 21 September 2020. Image source - Melbourne Storm Chasers. Information source - Bureau of Meteorology. Thunderstorms are possible over much of the state tomorrow. A rapidly moving cold front during the early morning will bring a risk of storms to parts of western and central Victoria, with the threat area contracting to the east of the state by late morning. There is a risk of damaging wind gusts with these early storms. During the afternoon, severe thunderstorms with damaging wind gusts are likely over the Northeast district, with a possibility of these storms moving over parts of Gippsland. There is a slight risk of large hail and heavy rainfall leading to flash flooding with these storms. A secondary front brings an additional risk of severe storms with damaging wind gusts to the exposed coastal fringe of the southwest district in the afternoon. - Nick -

20.01.2022 * VICTORIAN THUNDERSTORM FORECAST FOR TODAY, WEDNESDAY, 16 DECEMBER 2020 * Image source - Melbourne Storm Chasers. Information source - Bureau of Meteorology.... Isolated thunderstorms are possible across most of Victoria Wednesday. Generally high based storms in the southwest, with surface based storms developing during the day. There is a slight chance that thunderstorms will become severe through western and northeastern parts, heavy rain is possible, damaging wind gusts are also a slight chance. - Nick -

19.01.2022 Storm Outlook Friday, 5/2/21 :-

18.01.2022 Forecast. Possible thunderstorms, later .Alexandra District.

17.01.2022 HIGH risk of epidemic thunderstorm asthma forecast tomorrow for parts of Victoria. We have high levels of pollen, combining with severe thunderstorm forecasts i...n the West and South Gippsland district. If you have asthma or hay fever, plan ahead and have your asthma medication on hand. Stay up-to-date and visit VicEmergency: http://ow.ly/bxPf30m6NiN

16.01.2022 Most widespread rain and storms of the year to hit vast areas of Australia over the coming week! This may be the trigger that sets of a wet Spring and S...ummer across large parts of Australia. From south coast of WA, through large parts of S.A, most of Tasmania, most of Victoria, western and southern NSW, south west QUEENSLAND should see some very healthy totals between now and the middle of next week as a number of weather systems hook up with tropical moisture allowing for the rain and storms to develop. Even parts of the Top end may see it’s real first case of showers and storms as the pre wet season build up gathers pace including the Darwin region. A favourable Indian Ocean and La Niña in the Pacific is now starting to show in the atmosphere around Australia as we see higher moisture levels and increased humidity.. This is the general pattern throughout Spring expected with signs continuing across Summer in eastern Australia. The fire season will not be anywhere near as frantic as last season as the climate set up is completely different. This does not mean there won’t be any fires it just means there will be less and not as destructive as last season due to the higher humidity, more regular rains this Spring and Summer especially for eastern and south eastern Australia. Image one: ECMWF model rainfall estimates between now and next Wednesday morning 23rd September. Image Two: UKMET model rainfall estimates between now and next Tuesday morning 22nd September. John.

16.01.2022 15 mm rain Sunday night, Monday morning.Alexandra Regional Centre.15 mm rain Sunday night, Monday morning.Alexandra Regional Centre.

16.01.2022 Down round 1 degree Sunday night, 27/9/20 and Monday morning. Frost then sunny. Max. Alexandra area 16.

15.01.2022 Frost warning again. Monday night 28/9 andTue morning. Temps down to around 2. Then sunny.

15.01.2022 Update: Weather Bureau has cancelled the TS warning.p at 8-37 pm Sunday. ....................... Quite a bit of thunderstorm activity in the western part of the State. Generally moving east. Warning issued for parts of North Central at 5-11 pm. Patches of heavy rain and some areas damaging winds.

15.01.2022 Prediction. Not a warning.:-

14.01.2022 CFA Fire Danger Period restrictions for Murrindindi Shire come into force, 7th December, 2020 at 1 am. CFA Fire Information Enquiries: Telephone 1800 226 226

13.01.2022 Farmers / Grazier Warning :-

12.01.2022 Reports of snow falling many locations western Victoria and SA.Reports of snow falling many locations western Victoria and SA.

12.01.2022 Becoming warm and windy, Saturday: 3/10/20 ( Reminder: Daylight Saving Starts Saturday night. Time pieces forward one hour).

08.01.2022 20:17 Oct 01 VIC Severe Weather Warning: Damaging Winds. Kyneton, Daylesford, Yarra Glen, Bacchus Marsh, Mt Baw Baw Details: VIC Severe Weather Warning: Damagin...g Winds For people in parts of Central, North Central, North East and West and South Gippsland Forecast Districts. Issued at 8:16 pm Thursday, 1 October 2020. STRENGTHENING NORTHERLY WINDS Weather Situation: A high pressure system over the NSW coast will move over the Tasman Sea early on Friday. DAMAGING WINDS, averaging 50 to 60 km/h with peak gusts of around 90 km/h are forecast to develop across the warning area around dawn on Friday before easing below warning threshold by late afternoon. Locations which may be affected include Kyneton, Daylesford, Yarra Glen, Bacchus Marsh and Mt Baw Baw. The State Emergency Service advises that people should: * Be aware that trees that have been damaged by heat or fire may be unstable and more likely to fall when it is windy or wet. * Check that loose items such as outdoor settings, umbrellas and trampolines are safely secured and move vehicles under cover or away from trees. * Stay indoors and away from windows. * If outdoors, move to a safe place indoors. Stay away from trees, drains, gutters, creeks and waterways. * If driving conditions are dangerous, safely pull over away from trees, drains, low-lying areas and floodwater. Avoid travel if possible. * Stay safe by avoiding dangerous hazards, such as floodwater, mud, debris, damaged roads and fallen trees. * Stay away from fallen powerlines always assume they are live. * Stay informed monitor weather warnings, forecasts and river levels at the Bureau of Meteorology website, and warnings through VicEmergency. Alert Source: Bureau of Meteorology Early Warning Network: http://www.ewn.com.au Council Resident Options & EWN Support: https://www1.ewn.com.au/support/

08.01.2022 Thunderstorms are possible within the red marked area tomorrow and will extend from the northwest into parts of northern and western Victoria tomorrow afternoon... and evening. If thunderstorms do develop they are expected to be high based, with no associated severe phenomena. Image - Instability/Lifted index forecast for 4PM Friday from the GFS model via BSCH. - Nick -

08.01.2022 Showers from Thursday, 17th Sept. 2020. Looks like rain on Saturday for Alexandra District :-

07.01.2022 Snow again! Black’s Spur.. Drive to the conditions.

07.01.2022 Here it comes, Victoria! A late season cold snap is on it's way, with showers, isolated storms and small hail, with snow expected to fall above 900m.

04.01.2022 Rain later tomorrow Alexandra District , 10-20 mm forecast from late Monday afternoon. 21/12/2020:-

04.01.2022 * RAIN AND STORMS ON THE WAY FOR VICTORIA DURING THE WEEKEND * A trough approaching from the west is expected to generate rain and thunderstorms across the Stat...e on the weekend. Increasing cloud is forecast on Saturday with rain developing in the southwest and the chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon. On Sunday the trough is expected to drift slowly across Victoria from west to east, generating rain and thunderstorms over western and central districts during the day with this activity moving across to eastern areas on Monday. A cooler S/SW change will follow the trough producing much cooler temperatures. Melbourne for example is expecting a top of 25 C on Sunday and only 14C on Monday. The image shows the predicted accumulated rainfall for Victoria from 10 pm on Thursday 1st October to 10 pm Monday 5th October. This is according to the ECMWF model as processed by Weatherzone. Widespread totals of 20-30 mm are predicted for much of southern Victoria during this time. - Dick Whitaker, Meteorologist -

03.01.2022 * THUNDERSTORM FORECAST FOR THE REMAINDER OF TODAY - MONDAY * A trough will continue to slowly move east throughout the remainder of today, clearing central dis...tricts around midday and eastern Victoria this afternoon. Severe thunderstorms are possible across the north and east. A rainband with embedded thunderstorms is currently moving through parts of Central and Southern Victoria with heavy rainfall the main risk. There is also a risk of damaging winds, most likely across the northern half of the state, while the highest risk of heavy rainfall is across the south and east in the eastern half of the state. There is also a slight risk of large hail. Storms (possibly severe) are possible within the red highlighted area. Image 1 - Instability / lift forecast for 1PM Monday. Image 2 - Rainfall forecast for 1PM Monday. Forecasts from the GFS model via BSCH. - Nick -

03.01.2022 EARLY NOTIFICATION: Becoming Humid tomorrow , Rain developing later Thursday, 4/2/21. Some thunderstorms. Friday, 5/2/21. - Wet!. Some areas to receive significant rain. Windy conditions especially at higher elevations. Flood Watch Advices likely.... See (as follows) :- Further information to be provided by BOM later today and Thurs. morning. See more

03.01.2022 - Well it’s official! The BOM have declared a La Niña.. We knew was coming it was just a matter of time. - A weak negative IOD will enhance rainfall the next c...ouple of months - A positive SAM this time of year also increases the chance of above average rainfall coinciding with a La Niña for eastern areas of Australia. La Niña underway in the tropical Pacific ENSO Outlook The Bureau’s ENSO Outlook has moved to LA NIÑA, indicating La Niña is established in the tropical Pacific. All surveyed international climate models indicate this La Niña will persist until at least January 2021. While models agree La Niña will continue well into summer 202021, around half the models predict a strong event, while 3 of 8 models suggest moderate strength. Overall, models do not currently anticipate this event will be as strong as the La Niña of 201012, which was one of the four strongest La Niñas on record. The strength of La Niña impacts on Australia are often related to the strength of the event. Central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean sea surface temperatures exceed La Niña thresholds (0.8 C below average) and atmospheric indicators, including the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI), trade winds and cloud, are also at La Niña levels. In the Indian Ocean, the latest values of the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) index have again gone into negative dipole territory. Five of the 6 surveyed models indicate the IOD will be negative for October, and three models continue negative IOD values into November. Both La Niña and negative IOD typically increase the chance of above average rainfall across much of Australia during spring. Above average summer rainfall is also typical across eastern Australia during La Niña. Current climate outlooks indicate the remainder of 2020 will be wetter than average across the eastern two thirds of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is expected to be neutral or weakly positive for the coming weeks. La Niña tends to favour positive SAM during spring and summer, which typically enhances the wet signal in the east. The MaddenJulian Oscillation (MJO) is currently weak or indiscernible, but may increase in strength as it moves from the Maritime Continent into the Western Pacific Ocean.

01.01.2022 Amazing! Beech Forest, Otways, Victoria. Photo by Missy Miliken.

01.01.2022 * VICTORIAN THUNDERSTORM FORECAST FOR TODAY, SUNDAY, 22 NOVEMBER 2020 * Image source - Melbourne Storm Chasers. Information source - Bureau of Meteorology.... Thunderstorms are occurring over southwest Victoria this morning, likely to extending across remaining parts during the afternoon and continuing into the night. Severe thunderstorms are possible across the north and east during the afternoon and evening, with damaging winds and heavy rainfall the main risk. The highest risk of damaging winds is across the northwest, while the highest risk of heavy rainfall is across the south of the severe possible area. There is also a slight risk of large hail over the southwest of the severe possible area and the eastern ranges. - Nick -