Dr George Hatoum in Burwood, New South Wales | Doctor

Dr George Hatoum

Locality: Burwood, New South Wales

Phone: +61 2 9790 4321

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25.01.2022 No comment needed

25.01.2022 *** Australian COVID-19 case projections (2 weeks) (30/3/2020 update) *** Note: this is public domain. Please share, edit, modify, use as you wish. Attribution ...is welcome but not necessary. Today's COVID-19 confirmed case count from the Australian Government Department of Health continues to be consistent with an overall lower growth rate. As stated in the recent days, this is due to the drop in positive cases in returned travellers, which had dominated the proportion of positive cases. There is some data, especially from NSW, that local community transmission is increasing. If this persists, we will see a return to the higher growth rate over the next couple of weeks. Other policies (e.g., social distancing and staged closures) to reduce transmission might be seen in the growth rate of cases in early April. If the lowering of the growth rate, projected estimates have reduced across the models. April will likely start in the mid-thousands and it is less likely that it will be in the high-thousands unless the growth rate accelerates over the next two days (unlikely). The case count for Easter Sunday, is quite uncertain and the three models diverge significantly in their estimates. In the immediate period, it is plausible that none of the three models will describe the time series well. As calculated from these charts, the doubling time in the growth of confirmed COVID-19 cases in Australia is longer than yesterday. There is divergence in the estimates related to the different assumptions underlying the models, and this relates to some of the day-to-day inconsistency in the doubling time recently. This will be the last doubling time reported for the time being. Doubling time isn't a very meaningful description of growth when the series is not well approximated by an exponential series. Model 1: 3.7 days Model 2: 5.9 days Model 3: 7.9 days Prediction for the number of confirmed cases for TOMORROW (31/3/2020)? Model 1: 6000 cases, 95% PI: 4200 to 8600 Model 2: 5000 cases, 95% PI: 4500 to 5500 Model 3: 4700 cases, 95% PI: 4500 to 4900 Prediction for the number of confirmed cases for 1/4/2020? Model 1: 7300 cases, 95% PI: 5000 to 10000 Model 2: 5600 cases, 95% PI: 5000 to 6300 Model 3: 5100 cases, 95% PI: 4800 to 5300 Important cautions: With any modelling of this sort, the further you go into the future, the greater the uncertainty. The future projections are heavily dependent on the assumptions used in the model, assumptions that fundamentally cannot be correct from the perspective of the generative mechanisms, and these are likely to result in major errors the further forward you go in time. The variation in the results from these models indicate how sensitive they are to initial assumptions. Notes: Model 1 projects from an exponential model that fits all Australian data points in March (1 Mar to 30 Mar). Model 2 projects from an exponential model that fits Australian data points from the only the previous 7 days. Model 3 projects from a Gompertz curve model that fits all Australian data points (25 Jan to 30 Mar). Model 3 will likely be the most accurate in the longer term, especially once more data is included as the epidemic progresses. Day "1" is the first day each country has had 100 confirmed cases or more. The dates below relate to Australia only. Other countries have had their curves shifted so that all countries start on "day 1" on or just above 100 cases. Australian data is the Australian Government Department of Health data - the first reported count for the day. The international data is from the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control available here: https://www.ecdc.europa.eu//download-todays-data-geographi This chart is generated in R. The data source is this custom spreadsheet available here: https://www.dropbox.com/s/4os/20200330_COVID_AU-world.xlsx R code: https://www.dropbox.com/s/557ofmao7gyg8/covid_au-world.txt The regression statistics for the two models are here: https://www.dropbox.com/s/557ofmao7gyg8/covid_au-world.txt URL for this post: https://www.facebook.com/vitualis/posts/10156841817396366

24.01.2022 Martin Luther on Whether One Should Flee From A Deadly Plague I shall ask God mercifully to protect us. Then I shall fumigate, help purify the air, administe...r medicine and take it. I shall avoid places and persons where my presence is not needed in order not to become contaminated and thus perchance inflict and pollute others and so cause their death as a result of my negligence. If God should wish to take me, he will surely find me and I have done what he has expected of me and so I am not responsible for either my own death or the death of others. If my neighbor needs me however I shall not avoid place or person but will go freely as stated above. See this is such a God-fearing faith because it is neither brash nor foolhardy and does not tempt God. In 1527, the plague arrived in Wittenberg and Martin Luther wrote a letter to a friend (Volume 43, Pg. 132: Whether One Should Flee From A Deadly Plague To Rev. Dr. John Hess), explaining how fellow pastors and churches should respond.

23.01.2022 Matching DNA to a Diet Does Not Work "DNA testing won’t guide dieters to the weight-loss regimen most likely to work for them, scientists reported on Tuesday. D...espite some earlier studies claiming that genetic variants predict whether someone has a better chance of shedding pounds on a low-carbohydrate or a low-fat diet, and despite a growing industry premised on that notion, the most rigorous study so far found no difference in weight loss between overweight people on diets that matched their genotype and those on diets that didn’t. "The findings make it less likely that genetics might explain why only some people manage to lose weight on a low-carb diet like Atkins and why others succeed with a low-fat one (even though the vast majority of dieters don’t keep off whatever pounds they lose). Unlike cancer treatments, diets can’t be matched to genotype, the new study shows."

19.01.2022 THANKS TO SCIENCE and thanks to researchers at the The Peter Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity A homegrown story today, as the announcement came yest...erday that scientists at the Peter Doherty Institute in Melbourne had succeeded in recreating the Wuhan coronavirus in the lab, based on sequences shared from China. This represents a huge step in combating the infection - this lab virus could be used to create a vaccine, to streamline diagnosis or develop other treatments. Other Australian research efforts against coronavirus include the University of Queensland, which aims to use it's vaccine platform to develop a coronavirus vaccine within 4 months. The work has international backing from the Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovation. https://www.abc.net.au//coronavirus-vaccine-work-/11896346

16.01.2022 True for most people not just those that have dementia

10.01.2022 Something to think about IX BEST DOCTORS IN THE WORLD: 1. Sunlight 2. Rest... 3. Exercise 4. Diet 5. Self Confidence and 6. Friends/Family SIX FACTS OF LIFE: 1. Don't educate your children to be rich. Educate them to be Happy. So when they grow up they will know the value of things not the price. 2: Best awarded words: "Eat your food as your medicines. Otherwise you have to eat medicines as your food." 3: The One who loves you will never leave you because even if there are 100 reasons to give up he or she will find one reason to hold on. 4: There is a big difference between a human being and being human. Only a few really understand it. 5. You are loved when you are born. You will be loved when you die. In between, You have to manage! 6: If you just want to Walk Fast, Walk Alone! But if you want to Walk Far, Walk Together!

09.01.2022 We all need a piglet sometime in our lives Pooh woke up that morning, and, for reasons that he didn't entirely understand, couldn't stop the tears from coming.... He sat there in bed, his little body shaking, and he cried, and cried, and cried. Amidst his sobs, the phone rang. It was Piglet. "Oh Piglet," said Pooh, between sobs, in response to his friend's gentle enquiry as to how he was doing. "I just feel so Sad. So, so, Sad, almost like I might not ever be happy again. And I know that I shouldn't be feeling like this. I know there are so many people who have it worse off than me, and so I really have no right to be crying, with my lovely house, and my lovely garden, and the lovely woods all around me. But oh, Piglet: I am just SO Sad." Piglet was silent for a while, as Pooh's ragged sobbing filled the space between them. Then, as the sobs turned to gasps, he said, kindly: "You know, it isn't a competition." "What isn't a competition?" asked a confused sounding Pooh. "Sadness. Fear. Grief," said Piglet. "It's a mistake we often make, all of us. To think that, because there are people who are worse off than us, that that somehow invalidates how we are feeling. But that simply isn't true. You have as much right to feel unhappy as the next person; and, Pooh - and this is the really important bit - you also have just as much right to get the help that you need." "Help? What help?" asked Pooh. "I don't need help, Piglet. "Do I?" Pooh and Piglet talked for a long time, and Piglet suggested to Pooh some people that he might be able to call to talk to, because when you are feeling Sad, one of the most important things is not to let all of the Sad become trapped inside you, but instead to make sure that you have someone who can help you, who can talk through with you how the Sad is making you feeling, and some of the things that might be able to be done to support you with that. What's more, Piglet reminded Pooh that this support is there for absolutely everyone, that there isn't a minimum level of Sad that you have to be feeling before you qualify to speak to someone. Finally, Piglet asked Pooh to open his window and look up at the sky, and Pooh did so. "You see that sky?" Piglet asked his friend. "Do you see the blues and the golds and that big fluffy cloud that looks like a sheep eating a carrot?" Pooh looked, and he could indeed see the blues and the golds and the big fluffy cloud that looked like a sheep eating a carrot. "You and I," continued Piglet, "we are both under that same sky. And so, whenever the Sad comes, I want you to look up at that sky, and know that, however far apart we might be physically...we are also, at the same time, together. Perhaps, more together than we have ever been before." "Do you think this will ever end?" asked Pooh in a small voice. "This too shall pass," confirmed Piglet. "And I promise you, one day, you and I shall once again sit together, close enough to touch, sharing a little smackerel of something...under that blue gold sky." We all need a piglet in our lives. #mentalhealthmatters #bullyingstopsnow #EveryMindMatters #yourimportant #itsoktotalk #everylifemattersinfife #itsoknottobeokay

07.01.2022 "For women who have difficulty quitting without a medicine ... they can be reassured that some of the common things like prematurity and small baby size that are often a concern with medicines ... aren’t a problem for these particular ones,"

06.01.2022 Today's Abused Health Concept is CHIROPRACTIC BOOSTING THE IMMUNE SYSTEM "As soon as there is public fear to exploit, these practitioners are really quick to g...et on message and promote this type of misinformation for their own profit," If it is not acceptable to promote 'immune boost' claims to take advantage COVID19 fear, why are these claims allowed (or overlooked) AT ANY TIME? Are ethics less important at other times? Governing bodies including chiropractic organisations are issuing warnings not to make inappropriate claims related to COVID19, often ... "within hours of receiving information about potential inappropriate claims..." However this type of claim seems to be normal in the industry. Warnings do not seem to have any negative effect on the business or practises of these quack operators. A google for "chiropractic boost immune system" returns ~700,000 results, and it is clear that industry does not effectively police itself. Unscientific claims need to be combated with effective policies, deterrents and penalties or chiropractic (and alt med in general) will continue to be a hotbed for false claims and unethical behaviour. https://www.cbc.ca//chiropractors-immune-system-covid-19-1

05.01.2022 "In case you don’t feel like reading this article, let me give you a spoiler alert homeopathy is 100% water, and it will do nothing to treat or prevent anything. It’s useless."

05.01.2022 Ignorance and greed

05.01.2022 This is the exact biology of Coronavirus

02.01.2022 https://www.latimes.com//la-sci-sn-dr-oz-claims-fact-check