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Lieblich & Associates

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25.01.2022 From The Australian, today, by Robert Gottliebsen: If the key elements of the US Republican Party’s tax plan passes the US congress and Jerome Powell heads the Federal Reserve, prepare for higher global interest rates and a rise in the US dollar.... At the heart of the Trump plan is the fact that around $US2.6 trillion in American corporate profits are sitting in overseas bank accounts and Trump wants to bring the money home. Under current rules the 35 per cent US corporate t...ax isn’t payable until the money comes back to the United States. Currently to avoid the 35 per cent American tax rate being levied on the $US2.6 trillion, the money is usually kept in overseas tax havens. US companies like Apple, Microsoft, Google and General Electric lead the way in amassing enormous overseas cash reserves. For example, Apple has $252 billion overseas. Trump wants most of that $US2.6 trillion returned to the US and he plans a one time tax rate of 12 per cent on those funds, payable in instalments, to encourage the process. At the same time capital investments in the US will be immediately tax deductible against a corporate tax rate that has been reduced from 35 to 20 per cent.... And remember Jerome Powell is a conservative appointment to head the US Federal Reserve. When he sees inflation breaking out he will lift US interest rates so boosting the US dollar and global interest rates.... ...if you want to measure the likelihood of the tax measures passing on a day-by-day basis follow the trends in the US 10-year bond rate. If it rises then the market expects the package to pass (and interest rates to rise); if the bond rate falls the market is less optimistic about passing ends.

24.01.2022 https://www.wsj.com//chinese-huawei-executive-is-charged-w?

24.01.2022 Israel has sold its largest-ever euro-denominated bond in an auction that was more than four times oversubscribed... 1.5 billion euros in 10-year debt and 750 million euros in 20-year bonds after receiving total demand from investors for 9.8 billion euros... The success of the sale is a vote of confidence in Israels economy... https://lnkd.in/ecyeA23

23.01.2022 ...Among the preconditions for a trade agreement, Beijing is insisting that the U.S. remove its ban on the sale of U.S. technology to Chinese telecommuni-cations giant Huawei Technologies Co. Beijing also wants the U.S. to lift all punitive tariffs and drop efforts to get China to buy even more U.S. exports than Beijing said it would when the two leaders last met in December.... https://www.wsj.com//china-s-xi-to-present-trump-with-term

22.01.2022 ...Now that Chinas tradeable stock market has risen by 43% during 2017 in US dollar terms, Western opinion is melting up. Bridgewater, the worlds largest hedge fund, is raising money for a China investment vehicle. Bank of America now predicts Asian stocks will double in the present bull run. Hedge Funds Used to Love Shorting China. Now, Not So Much, declared a Bloomberg headline Sept. 12.... http://lieblich.com.au//china-electronics-industry-infras/

11.01.2022 New post added at Lieblich & Associates - Trimming US Federal Reserves

03.01.2022 http://www.visualcapitalist.com/74-trillion-global-econom/

02.01.2022 From The Australian, today, by Robert Gottliebsen: If the key elements of the US Republican Partys tax plan passes the US congress and Jerome Powell heads the Federal Reserve, prepare for higher global interest rates and a rise in the US dollar.... At the heart of the Trump plan is the fact that around $US2.6 trillion in American corporate profits are sitting in overseas bank accounts and Trump wants to bring the money home. Under current rules the 35 per cent US corporate t...ax isnt payable until the money comes back to the United States. Currently to avoid the 35 per cent American tax rate being levied on the $US2.6 trillion, the money is usually kept in overseas tax havens. US companies like Apple, Microsoft, Google and General Electric lead the way in amassing enormous overseas cash reserves. For example, Apple has $252 billion overseas. Trump wants most of that $US2.6 trillion returned to the US and he plans a one time tax rate of 12 per cent on those funds, payable in instalments, to encourage the process. At the same time capital investments in the US will be immediately tax deductible against a corporate tax rate that has been reduced from 35 to 20 per cent.... And remember Jerome Powell is a conservative appointment to head the US Federal Reserve. When he sees inflation breaking out he will lift US interest rates so boosting the US dollar and global interest rates.... ...if you want to measure the likelihood of the tax measures passing on a day-by-day basis follow the trends in the US 10-year bond rate. If it rises then the market expects the package to pass (and interest rates to rise); if the bond rate falls the market is less optimistic about passing ends.

02.01.2022 ... Few countries have endured this level of deprivation outside of full war mobilization, and few have seen such a drastic decline in the number of births. The only modern comparison is Venezuela. Governments with a monopoly of economic resources and the willingness to kill significant numbers of their own citizens can stay in power for quite some time, but there seems no question that Iran’s regime is fragile and prone to destabilization.