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25.01.2022 SUBSCRIBERS Nitso has your forecast videos for Tropical LOW 94P, Cape York weather, The Top End and Kimberley weather and the upcoming WA LOW/cyclone ready for you to watch at https://home.ozcyclonechasers.com.au simply login and click on "Forecast Videos" to watch. To support our work and get highly detailed analysis and forecast videos along with access to out Weather Centre you can join us at https://join.ozcyclonechasers.com.au
25.01.2022 Some decent sized hail along with heavy rain being shown on reflectivity imagery from today's CQ storms.
24.01.2022 Tropical Cyclone Delta is a shadow of its former self as wind shear hammers it into a 'half-cane' instead of a hurricane (half cane or half clone in Australia is a slang term we use for rubbish asymmetrical sheared Tropical Cyclones). Nevertheless the northern side of the system packs a stronger punch with the cyclone around a high end Category 2 (using our Aus cyclone scale) on that northern flank. The backside of these half canes does not normally pack a punch and will be no windier than a typical windy day. images windy.com and the NHC
23.01.2022 This is why you shouldn’t fall for the hype (and just general poor meteorological knowledge) that some other pages have. We have a close relationship with South Brisbane Storms as those who run the page are highly regarded in the weather community.
23.01.2022 LOVE!!! Taken today - 1st December 2020 Copacabana Beach, NSW - Come on... you KNOW you would break out the maracas too! Thank you Belinda Gibson for this amazing shot Check out her page Belinda Gibson at Be-One Photography
23.01.2022 This is great to see! Nice shower and storm activity this morning about the far NE NT coastline. Hopefully pushing through Nhulunbuy with a bit of luck. The next few days will offer good chances of shower activity for the region in an enhanced and moist easterly flow. Fingers crossed you get a bit of the wet stuff. https://join.ozcyclonechasers.com.au/
21.01.2022 Here we go again Darwin! This storm is warned for damaging winds. Let us know how you go through it. The second image is the Doppler wind product which shows damaging winds in the vicinity of 75-100kmph is likely in this cell. http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDD21035.shtml https://join.ozcyclonechasers.com.au/
21.01.2022 NOT TO BE MISSED!!! Commencing on ABC TV + iview from Tuesday 13th October 2020 at 8.30pm Australia wide. #BigWeather (and how to survive it)
20.01.2022 Forecast for positive rainfall anomalies (yes QLD that even goes for you!), cyclone signals showing on modelling, La Niña remaining in place...it looks set for a big month ahead as we shift into the first month of Summer. Full details in the Future Aussie Cyclones Update issued tonight. Of course we will be here ready to update you all as events evolve in the coming weeks. https://join.ozcyclonechasers.com.au/
20.01.2022 Wuh oh Wild weather up in Kununurra today sent this plane hurtling across the local airport. Wind gusts of 119km/h were recorded at 2.30pm at Kununurra. DFE...S says this is a reminder of the destructive potential of strong winds, and why they ask the community to prepare for severe weather. A Severe Weather Warning is currently in place for the Kimberley. Two requests for assistance, both relating to fallen trees, have been received by the SES. Stay safe up there!
20.01.2022 Subscribers, check out your North Oz Update for today. The focus today is the northern two thirds of the NT, NW QLD again, and possibly some activity over northern WA. Subscribe to access these videos and much more, https://join.ozcyclonechasers.com.au/
20.01.2022 Some Nice Mammatus clouds captured by Matthew Paul Photography from SEQ today
20.01.2022 That sure is one very congested storm track map for the Atlantic season
19.01.2022 BOM TROPICAL CYCLONE SEASONAL OUTLOOOK 2020/2021 http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/cyclones/australia/
19.01.2022 A great write up from the very well respected Anthony Cornelius. Certainly glad it weakened just before reaching Ipswich as we also noted last night.
19.01.2022 Do we have any followers through central NSW? The Newcastle radar is looking mighty impressive currently. ***************************** Subscribe to OCC for comprehensive cyclone information, general weather information, and access to our world class weather centre this year. Subscription supports us in our documentary efforts, and allows us to continue improving our website and services we provide.... https://join.ozcyclonechasers.com.au/
19.01.2022 Some seriously chunky convection with the severe warned squall approaching Darwin a short time ago An STW is in place for damaging winds http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDD21035.shtml
19.01.2022 Yet another tropical storm, forecast to become a hurricane, in the Atlantic Basin. Unfortunately another system moving towards Honduras and Nicaragua .
19.01.2022 Check out that cloud band really thickening up over southern parts of the NT, and over a large portion of SA. It’s delivering excellent rainfall over central Australia, and this is expected to spread northwards in the coming days. Those in the NW Top End should keep an eye out on increasing thunderstorm activity in the coming days, peaking on Wednesday. Great to see the early season activity continue. ***************************** Subscribe to OCC for comprehensive cyclone i...nformation, general weather information, and access to our world class weather centre this year. Subscription supports us in our documentary efforts, and allows us to continue improving our website and services we provide. https://join.ozcyclonechasers.com.au/
18.01.2022 Hey Hey Western Australia! You sure look pretty tonight! Kununurra
18.01.2022 Nitso has released his month ahead update for this week. The video is just shy of 40 minutes long and shows the dedication he has to bringing the most comprehensive information possible. To access these videos and much more, consider becoming a subscriber. https://join.ozcyclonechasers.com.au/
17.01.2022 Check out the awesome rainfall from the cloud band that has been recorded over the 24hrs to 9am this morning. Central parts of SA, Southern Victoria and a large portion Tasmania being the big winners. Today we see the southern portion of the rain band weaken and shift east, with the northern section remains mostly stationary and thickening up over southern central parts of the NT and north eastern SA.
16.01.2022 ***BOM DECLARES THE START OF LA NINA*** http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/
16.01.2022 DARWIN STORM Here is the radar wind velocity reading coming from the Darwin radar. As winds pass the radar site it is registering the blue colouration (wind away from radar), and these appear to be close to the 100kmph mark. The strongest winds are associated with the front of the storm, as the orange colouration (wind towards radar) begins to ease to around the 50-75kmph mark. https://join.ozcyclonechasers.com.au/
16.01.2022 KABOOOOOM!!!! Kununurra copped a beauty today 40mm of rain and 119km/hr wind gust out of this beast
15.01.2022 The early season storm activity is set to continue for central and southern Australia, as well as the Top End. Models are confident on a significant trough system developing during the weekend and lingering into next week. The western Top End will see a sharp increase in shower and storm activity early next week, and at this early stage moisture and instability will be present for an extended period. Ridging across QLD will persist, meaning that the trough system is likely t...o weaken out before shifting too Far East. Patience will be key as we watch areas well to the west enjoy one of their biggest starts to the storm season in many years. Image is the 10day rainfall accumulation forecast from GFS, found on our weather centre. ***************************** Subscribe to OCC for comprehensive cyclone information, general weather information, and access to our world class weather centre this year. Subscription supports us in our documentary efforts, and allows us to continue improving our website and services we provide. https://join.ozcyclonechasers.com.au/
15.01.2022 Wow what awesome footage of a severe thunderstorm that impacted Kununurra. Credit: Debra Claire Hunter
15.01.2022 Did you catch the round of Friday subscriber video updates that Nitso uploaded today? It’s great to see this time of year roll and the updates increase along with it. This season the updates are split into Southern QLD, Central QLD, Northern QLD, Top End and Cape, and NW WA. The WA update has the option to be split into smaller sections if required. To view these, follow the link below to subscribe if you haven’t already. ... ***************************** Subscribe to OCC for comprehensive cyclone information, general weather information, and access to our world class weather centre this year. Subscription supports us in our documentary efforts, and allows us to continue improving our website and services we provide. https://join.ozcyclonechasers.com.au/
15.01.2022 Here is the EC ensemble storm track forecasts for the WA tropical low. The steering for this system looks pretty straight forward (for now anyway) with a SW track for an extended period likely. Small variations in the SW track will make a big difference in the outcomes from this system. You can see a system that moves offshore will obviously strengthen, and a path close to the coast will see impacts along the coastline. A system further offshore will see those impacts reduce, and lastly a system that remains over land will be a good rain producer but not become a cyclone. Something to certainly keep an eye on. Image thanks to Meteologix https://meteologix.com/au/cyclone-tracks
12.01.2022 SUBSCRIBERS The Season Ahead update for October has been released. To watch it head to www.ozcyclonechasers.com.au login and click on "Forecast Videos" ***************************** Subscribe to OCC for comprehensive cyclone information, general weather information, and access to our world class weather centre this year. Subscription supports us in our documentary efforts, and allows us to continue improving our website and services we provide.... https://join.ozcyclonechasers.com.au/ See more
12.01.2022 There are some quite chunky thunderstorm cells operating over the QLD/NSW border and into NE NSW. The best of the severe potential today did look likely to be in those areas as opposed to further north. These cells are slow moving so flash flooding is a risk, and hail is warned for in the NSW activity. Though the radar returns seem to indicate hail is now a feature of the cell NE of Stanthorpe as well. https://join.ozcyclonechasers.com.au/
12.01.2022 A very difficult day to be a weather forecaster in South-East Queensland. Lots of instability. But the peak instability time is a time where dry air enters the region. That means storms could be quite strong, even severe, or not form at all. Another one of those 'Storms otherwise fine' days we love to forecast so much :P But make no mistake if they do form, they will move quickly and can produce large hail and damaging straight line winds. Members, more details of the 'who, w...hat, when, where, and why' in your forecast videos this morning on our website at www.ozcyclonechasers.com.au Image - shows the Kinetic Index for 1PM this afternoon - kinetic Index shows how supportive the environment is for storms we want values in the mid to high 30's (or above) here. And today's environment is right on the cusp of being supportive, but it won't commit.
12.01.2022 Woohoo go Queensland! More storms through inland parts today, signalling a continuation of the active start to the storm season. Good news is that the next couple of weeks look active as well with low pressure dominating central parts of Australia. ***************************** Subscribe to OCC for comprehensive cyclone information, general weather information, and access to our world class weather centre this year. Subscription supports us in our documentary efforts, and al...lows us to continue improving our website and services we provide. https://join.ozcyclonechasers.com.au/
11.01.2022 The Darwin storm has taken a bit of a SW turn and is missing the bulk of the city and northern suburbs. However taking a broader look you can see an awesome line right from Darwin down to an absolute beast of a storm at Adelaide River. It’s interesting to note just how much more lightning is in the Adelaide river cell compared to the Darwin cell, despite the Darwin cell being a very strong storm. ***************************** Subscribe to OCC for comprehensive cyclone inform...ation, general weather information, and access to our world class weather centre this year. Subscription supports us in our documentary efforts, and allows us to continue improving our website and services we provide. https://join.ozcyclonechasers.com.au/
11.01.2022 Storms have rapidly developed east of Darwin in the last half an hour and are pushing towards the city. It’s good to see some northern extent to it, which will hopefully allow the northern suburbs (who have missed out a fair bit this week) to get a drink.
10.01.2022 Some beautiful storm activity is taking off across southern parts of Central and Central West QLD. How is it looking from where you are? https://join.ozcyclonechasers.com.au/
09.01.2022 145km/hr at Dalby this evening - that's a fair effort!!!!
08.01.2022 Some nice convection and storm activity around Darwin today. A decent squall line is forming to the East and will arrive sometime this evening
08.01.2022 Some good convective activity has broken out across the Top End this afternoon. This is just the start of a few active days to come, with scattered showers and thunderstorms expected, particularly over western parts. ***************************** Subscribe to OCC for comprehensive cyclone information, general weather information, and access to our world class weather centre this year. Subscription supports us in our documentary efforts, and allows us to continue improving ou...r website and services we provide. https://join.ozcyclonechasers.com.au/
07.01.2022 Nice storm over Emerald right now. Hope you're enjoying the first for the season.
07.01.2022 Hey there Mount Isa, how are these storms going out your way? It looks like the focus has shifted west of the town but looking back over the last hour or so of radar imagery it looks like you got a cracker storm. Reports of small hail as well, what a cool down after a hot day.
07.01.2022 Nice line of storms pushing East across the Warrego region.
07.01.2022 Weipa and the Northern Cape York Peninsula are having a field day today with numerous showers and storms operating throughout the region. Gain access to our weather graphics and video weather forecasts at https://join.ozcyclonechasers.com.au
06.01.2022 Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST Severe Weather Warning for HEAVY RAINFALL... For people in parts of Peninsula and North Tropical Coast and Tablelands Forecast Districts. Issued at 4:52 pm Wednesday, 27 January 2021. Heavy rainfall to continue across Cape York Peninsula. Plan Image Weather Situation: At 4pm AEST, a tropical low was analysed over central Cape York Peninsula, roughly 120 kilometres northwest of Palmerville. The low is forecast to meander across the Peninsula district tonight and through Thursday before potentially tracking eastwards off the coast and into the northern Coral Sea late on Friday or Saturday. HEAVY RAINFALL which may lead to FLASH FLOODING is forecast to continue across Cape York Peninsula today and through Thursday over central parts of the Peninsula district. Localised six hourly rainfall totals between 140mm to 180mm are likely within the warning area. Currently the heaviest rainfall is extending from Cape Keerweer to Musgrave. These bands should extend southeastward towards Palmerville and Laura later tonight and into Thursday. Locations which may be affected include Coen, Palmerville, Musgrave, Hope Vale and Laura. 24 hour rainfall totals to 9am: 240mm at Southwell Station (north of Kowanyama) 121mm at Aurukun
06.01.2022 DID YOU KNOW PART 17 Sea Breezes can create thunderstorms? Find out how/why in the link. https://www.ozcyclonechasers.com.au/po/did-you-know-part-17
05.01.2022 As expected, a big ramp up of Monsoonal conditions for the NW Top End including Darwin today. Look at this huge line pushing in from the West right now
05.01.2022 Strong isolated storm cells building on the outskirts of Brisbane and our storm steering product shows them moving towards the North-East Did you catch yesterday's educational session about sea breezes and thunderstorms? I hope you did, because this is a first hand look at what we talked about yesterday
05.01.2022 Longreach getting some action and those storms have some small hail as well.
05.01.2022 Central Queensland storms Daniel Hair’s pictures
04.01.2022 WESTERN AUSTRALIA TROPICAL CYCLONE OUTLOOK A tropical low (12U) is gradually forming over far southern parts of the Joseph Bonaparte Gulf and is forecast to move to the southwest over the Kimberley coast this evening. It will then track southwest over western parts of the Kimberley. It is forecast to bring heavy rainfall, particularly through northern and western parts of the Kimberley throughout this week. From as early as Saturday but becoming far more likely from Sunday, ...12U is forecast to move offshore from the west Kimberley coast and continue moving west parallel to the Pilbara coast next week. If it does move offshore, it is likely to strengthen into a tropical cyclone, and this could occur very soon after the low moves over open waters. There is the potential for 12U to become a severe tropical cyclone as it tracks over waters to the north of the Pilbara. Likelihood of this or another system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on: Thursday:Very Low Friday:Very Low Saturday:Low NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
03.01.2022 Hello, friends. Sorry I've been silent! I'm in the middle of a crazy-ass double-header chase: CHAPTER 1. Forty-eight hours ago, I was getting blasted by Hurric...ane DELTA in Cancun, Mexicoon the exposed barrier island called the Hotel Zone (see video clip). DELTA weakened a little before landfall, so I was not expecting the fierce storm that came roaring in from the Caribbean. Cancun took a beating. Wind damage is extensive, with massive tree blowdown, lots of smashed windows and blown out signs, and some collapsed facades. DELTA may not have looked amazing on satellite imagery, but it had an edge. From there, the hurricane entered the Gulf of Mexico, taking aim at Louisianaand I decided I wasn't done with it. I was gonna hunt it down again. Cancun's airport got pretty banged up, and I knew the mechanics of getting back on US soil and to DELTA's next impact zone in time were gonna be trickya set of interrelated steps as delicately assembled as a Swiss watch. CHAPTER 2. I made it it off the Yucatan, and now I'm in Atlanta. That was the part of this "Swiss watch" of a chase that was most at risk of breaking. The chase is much easier from here: a quick flight to New Orleans by midnight, a drive to SW Louisiana by dawn. DELTA is in the Gulf and strengtheningand, tragically, it's approaching the same region that was devastated by Hurricane LAURA in August. Hopefully it'll weaken before landfall. Either way, I'm determined to get me my second slice of DELTA pie. Call me #HurricanePig.
03.01.2022 Feral humidity!!! Homes of the wall sweating weather is back! Hopefully a break next week I thought Mackay was gross @ 81% at nearly 10pm... then I looked at Darwin
01.01.2022 What a season for the US.
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