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24.01.2022 Rakuten Securities Australia's COO Nick Twidale on Bloomberg TV this morning....... https://www.bloomberg.com//u-s-dollar-is-still-a-standout-

24.01.2022 Rakuten Securities Australia's COO Nick Twidale on discussing currencies on CNBC earlier today...... https://www.cnbc.com//expect-more-political-instability-in

24.01.2022 https://sec.rakuten.com.au//instant-transfer-for-vietnam-/

23.01.2022 Stocks Recover Some Losses As Trade War Calms https://youtu.be/ewL98LIuLmQ Stock markets experienced a brighter day yesterday as trade concerns eased slightly. Asian markets had a tough day but European and American bourses found a base and managed to claw back some of their recent losses. The major US markets finished nicely in the black with the Nasdaq once again leading the charge, up 1.14% followed by the S&P and Dow, both closing around 0.8% to the good. The dollar move...d higher as the day progresses with the Dxy back up around 97.50 on the Asian open. Haven currencies receded with UsdJpy bouncing well off of support at 109.00, UsdChf having a similar reaction off the 1.0050 level and Gold dropping off resistance near 1300. Oil remained relatively stable over the day with the WTI back at $61.3/b and Brent trading near $71.25/b. There are some signs of a lowering of tensions in the trade war as language has softened somewhat from last week and it appears that negotiations will continue at some point. However the facts remain the same, we have seen substantial tariff increases from both sides and the US has confirmed that it is preparing tariffs on the remaining $300bio of Chinese imports. This is universally acknowledged as a huge risk for both countries growth expectations as well as the wider global environment and investors should be preparing for even lower forecasts as we progress through the year. Only time will tell whether this is the perfect time to go bargain hunting in the stock markets or whether markets are just having a breather before they continue to spiral lower as expectations and sentiment fall. Investors will continue to monitor key barometer currency pairs in the sessions ahead with the Yuan, Aussie, Swiss, Yen and Yen crosses all having the potential for more volatility. Despite some recovery for the UsdJpy and Jpy crosses overnight, the Aussie and Yuan remain under pressure near recent lows and traders will be looking for more confirmation of a cooling in the trade war before looking to enter int fresh long positions. Looking ahead at todays trading day and Aussie traders will be focusing on the latest Wage data due out this morning, expectation is for a print of +0.6% and given the RBAs recent updates, anything coming out substantially lower could lead to another step lower for the currency with 0.6900 the next target. We are also due to see Chinese Industrial Production numbers later in the day, yoy expectation is for a 6.5% rise. Its relatively quiet in the European session although investors will monitor the latest Euro flash GDP number. The New York day has some key data due out with the US Retail Sales numbers due at the same time as the Canadian CPI, were also set to hear from FOMC member Quarles later in the day.

23.01.2022 Trade Remains in Focus into the Weekend https://youtu.be/4ZWD-j5twtc Equity markets are on track for one of their worst weeks since last October as trade concerns continue to weigh on investor sentiment. Its a sea of red across stock indices this morning and things could get worse around lunch time in Asia if the US go ahead and implement tariff increases. US markets recovered late in the day as but still finished well down. Haven currencies continued to perform well with t...he Yen hitting fresh highs again against the dollar and on the crosses and the Chf moving higher. The Yuan remains under pressure, with UsdCny now trading nearly ten big figures higher than last Fridays close. Oil remained stable with WTI trading at $61.7/b and Brent back above $70/b and Gold moved higher after Wednesdays drop to trade around 1284 on the Asian open. Focus, as it has been for most of the week is well and truly on Washington today as investors watch the hours tick down to see if the US goes ahead with tariff increases at midnight or if there is a last minute reprieve. Those who have been watching European football this week may have some increased hope of that last minute turnaround but the market is certainly preparing for a deteriorating relations between the two trading superpowers and expect to see even more of a downturn in risk trades and stocks if we get confirmation later in the Asian session today. Looking ahead at todays sessions and there are some other risk events for investors to consider in addition to the trade negotiations in Washington. The RBAs latest Monetary Policy Statement is due out early in the Asian session and traders will be looking closely at the details after Tuesdays first live rate announcement in over two years. On the London open the focus will move to the UK with GDP and Manufacturing Production data due out. Key US CPI numbers are due out early in the New York session as well as employment data north of the border in Canada but once again expect the trade issue to dominate sentiment and flow as we move into the weekend.

22.01.2022 Markets Rangebound Searching for Next Catalyst https://youtu.be/FDKT17Q-5Mc

22.01.2022 Nick Twidale, Rakuten Securities Australia's COO on CNBC earlier this week. https://www.cnbc.com//rba-rate-cut-may-come-within-the-nex

22.01.2022 Markets Remain Under Pressure On Trade Concerns https://youtu.be/OfHasrJSuco

21.01.2022 Fresh Tariff Threats Rock Markets https://youtu.be/sldAWIGS-LE Global financial markets had experienced a strong end to last weeks trading as better than expected US job numbers had bolstered stocks and other risk assets, however comments from President Trump overnight that tariffs will increase this week on $200 bio worth of Chinese imports have hit hard this morning. Risk currency pairs gapped lower on the Sydney open with Jpy crosses and risk pairs taking significant hits... as well as the Yuan, weve seen a bit of a recovery since the initial move but traders are braced for further volatility. Futures markets are lower across the board with S&P contracts down over 1.6% at one point and Gold has rallied in early trade. Weve seen a strong reaction to the overnight comments from President Trump in the markets, but investors will now be looking for more clarity on the situation as the week progresses. The news of tariff increases has come as a bit of a shock as most comments recently from both US and Chinese teams had been positive with much talk of progress being made and investors will be hoping that this step by the President is more of a negotiating tactic than a statement of intent. A large Chinese team is set to visit Washington this week and hopes were high for an agreement to be made, investors will be monitoring developments very closely now and any signs that a deal will be pushed further down the track or not progress at all could send markets into a tailspin. Traders are preparing for an interesting day in Asia today as Chinese markets open for the first time since last Tuesday and Japan remains closed until tomorrow, given the increased uncertainty across the market and lower liquidity conditions there could be some very whippy moves ahead. Looking ahead at todays trading day and sentiment drivers look set to dominate market moves in light of the weekends developments, any strong response from Chinese officials could put further pressure on markets as we progress through the day. In terms of economic data releases, the Caixin Services PMI will be the main focus for the Asian session. Its relatively quiet through the other sessions today with the UK enjoying a holiday for May Day and no other tier 1 data releases on the calendar.

21.01.2022 Markets Steady Ahead of Data https://youtu.be/DLuYph5P8-A

21.01.2022 Markets Under Pressure As Trade War Escalates https://youtu.be/lF6NidYsK9Q Financial markets have opened in Asian back under pressure as the trade war between the US and China escalated further over the weekend. The situation had looked more promising on Friday as negotiations continued and stocks and risk trades experienced a bit of a relief rally, however news over the weekend indicated a significant escalation of tensions as China said that the US must remove all extra t...ariffs and President Trump called for China to act now on a trade deal. Equity futures are pointing lower and risk currencies including the Aud, UsdJpy and Jpy crosses are already under pressure despite not experienced the gapping that we saw last Monday. Commodities are relatively stable but Oil traders will be keeping a close eye on developments in the Persian gulf as the week rolls on, WTI trading at $61.4/b and Brent at $70.5/b. The escalating trade war between China and the US looks set to dominate investor focus for the week ahead again and early indications are that both sides are digging in for a longer struggle. It was only just over five trading days ago that things were looking much more rosy on the issue and some investors will be hoping that we could see any equally swift turn around in sentiment, but if we dont see signs of this happening soon then we will probably have seen a top in the recent stock market bull run. As tensions increase expect risk assets to come under more pressure as longer term investors react to recent developments and re-evaluate positioning with a view to further reductions in global growth. Looking ahead to todays sessions and the economic calendars are relatively quiet in terms of fundamental data releases. We are set to hear from a couple of major central bankers in the form of the RBA Assistance Governor Guy DeBelle and Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida but aside from those events, expect markets to trade in line with sentiment and any further updates on trade.

20.01.2022 Stocks Drop As IMF Lowers Growth Forecast https://youtu.be/N5SVFQPKId8

20.01.2022 Quiet Start to the Week in Holiday Markets https://youtu.be/UdLLLnibleQ We had a relatively muted start to the trading week as investors in both the UK and the US enjoyed long weekends, stock markets had a mixed day and the dollar gained back some of the lost ground from Friday. The main focus of the day was on President Trumps trip to Japan and any updates on the USs global trade policy and the fallout from EU elections. Once again the market received mixed messages from ...the President as he indicated that talks were going well with Japan but then advised that tariffs on Chinese goods could increase even further. Euro markets gained some ground as results came through largely as expected and fears of strong anti-EU parties gaining too much control receded, although news later in the day that Italy could be facing a $4bio fine from the EU did hamper rallies. Oil gained back some more of last weeks losses but still remains at more muted levels, WTI at $59 and Brent near $70. Markets return to full capacity today and investors will be looking very closely at the reaction to the Geo-Political issues that played out over the weekend. Relief rallies in both the Euro and the Pound could prove to be very short lived as the reality of the economic situations that both trading entities find themselves in may lead to some significant downside corrections. The Euro elections are out of the way but were now looking for new leaders within the block and given the hardening view points between member nations and indeed parties within the member nations then there is a high probability of more political instability ahead, something that is never good for a currency. Issues in Italy and Greece will probably grab the short term headlines with neither situation Euro positive. The pound has remained resilient over the last few days as PM Mays demise was well documented but expect further volatility and downside potential as the race for the top spot and with it control of the (poisoned) chalice of Brexit heats up and chances of a hard Brexit increase. Looking at the economic calendar for the day ahead and its once again very quiet in terms of tier 1 data releases, so expect traders to continue to monitor the news wires for updates on trade and geo-political issues as the day progresses.

16.01.2022 Markets Steady Ahead of Global Holidays and the Fed https://youtu.be/HvxRFcl--34

15.01.2022 Mixed Earnings Results Weigh on Sentiment https://youtu.be/2QqKD_5d8RU

14.01.2022 Markets Under More Pressure As Tech Stocks Continue to Fall https://youtu.be/LfwGvRghOgY The fall out from the latest escalation in the growing trade war between the US and China continued to pressure stock markets during yesterdays trading. Tech stocks continue to bear the brunt of the pain but are naturally dragging down the other sectors, the Nasdaq closed the day down 1.46% with the S&P and Dow only down 0.67% and 0.33% respectively. The dollar dropped off its recent ...highs but the Dxy still remains relatively well bid up near the 98.00 level with some of the majors still looking vulnerable against the greenback in the current environment. Commodities had a fairly steady day with WTI around $63.3/b, Brent at $72/b and Gold consolidating once more under the 1280 level. Australian markets experienced a strong trading day yesterday after the surprise victory for the Coalition over the weekend, however those rallies may be short lived as global growth concerns will probably come back to dominate local market euphoria very swiftly. The Aussie gapped higher on the open as a Labour victory had largely been priced into the market, but it still remains near long term lows and if the RBAs Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes and Governor Phillip Lowes speech later in the day paint a more dovish picture, then expect the currency to drop back towards the 0.6850 level. Looking ahead to the rest of the days trading sessions and those aforementioned Australian events will be the main releases of the Asian session, however expect global sentiment to continue to dominate other regional markets direction. On the London open expect focus to move to the UK as BOE Governor testifies before the Treasury Committee on the latest Inflation Report Hearings. There is little in the way of economic releases during the New York session today but we are hearing from more FOMC members as both Evans and Rosengren are due to speak with any dovish leaning expected to support stock markets in the short term.

12.01.2022 Stocks Hit Hard Again as Tariff Threat Remains https://youtu.be/nE4rgakVPkY Global equities took a hard hit during yesterdays trading as investors remain cautious on the future of a trade deal between the US and China. On a positive note, China did confirm that Vie Premier Liu will be attending talks, however they also advised that retaliatory tariffs on US goods will be imposed if President Trump goes ahead and raises levels on Friday. Asian stock markets had experienced a ...reasonable day but the story changed as the day progresses and European and US bourses finished well in the red with the US markets having one of its worst days since December. The Nasdaq finished the day negative 1.96% with the Dow and S&P not far behind, down 1.79% and 1.65% respectively. The dollar had a whippy day as it oscillated on risk flows, haven currencies, in particular the Jpy gaining most by the sessions end. Oil continued to trade just above recent lows and Gold gained slightly in the risk off environment. Markets are certainly taking the threat of an escalating trade war between the US and China seriously now and investors are preparing for further downside moves if what seemed close to impossible only a few days ago, does occur and the US raises tariffs on Chinese imports. What occurs in Washington both at the negotiating table and behind closed doors in the next few days could have far reaching implications for global growth and market stability over the long term. If the current situation does turn into a full out trade war between the two trading superpowers then we could see markets tailspin down to much lower levels. However, and investors are still hoping for this outcome, if we do see the US pull back on its threats and tariff increases are delayed then expect to see a good short term relief rally followed by more cautiously optimistic sentiment over the medium term. Looking ahead to todays trading day and focus in Asia will turn to New Zealand later in the day with the latest rate announcement from the RBNZ. In a similar situation to the RBA yesterday, the market is expecting to see a rate cut from the central bank although some still remain in the hold camp and there should be some strong moves in the currency on either outcome. Chinese Trade Balance data is also due out later in the session. The London and New York sessions are once again relatively quiet in terms of fundamental data releases today and so expect trade updates and sentiment to dictate market moves once again.

12.01.2022 Markets Consolidate Ahead of Key Chinese Data https://youtu.be/QdR0QwMD7G4

12.01.2022 Earnings and Data Push Stock On into the Start of the Week https://youtu.be/T_0QAMnWeqE

11.01.2022 Focus on Earnings this Week After Quiet Holiday Trading Conditions https://youtu.be/ue9uNhOk6L4

11.01.2022 Mixed Markets Again Ahead of Non-Farm Payrolls https://youtu.be/1TQFSQbJpOo

11.01.2022 Stocks Fall, Dollar Rises As Fed Remains Patient https://youtu.be/2y8ETJZhugo As expected, global financial markets were quiet for the majority of yesterdays trading as a plethora of centres enjoyed a day off. The main event came at the end of a long trading day with the Feds latest rate announcement and statement. As expected they left rates on hold, however they did drop the IOER by 5 bps and Jerome Powell confirmed the FOMCs current patient approach and advised that th...e next move could be either up or down with regard to rates. The market was positioned for a more dovish outlook and consequently we saw the dollar and US treasury yields appreciate and stock markets drop. The moves werent huge across the market but investors will now be looking at US data even more closely in the coming months and if the numbers start to firm, expect more unwinding of positions placed across assets on the back of anticipated Fed rate cuts. The major indices in the US closed the day well in the red with the S&P leading the way, down 0.75%, the Dow and Nasdaq not far behind finishing down 0.61% and 0.57% respectively. The dollar had been dropping steadily over the last week since the Dxy hit multi year highs above 98.30 however if jumped from lows on the day near 97.20 to trade back up around 97.65 after the Fed statement. Oil had another whippy day in thin conditions, with WTI falling below $63/b after news of increased US stockpiles and production before bouncing back to close the session around $63.5/b, Brent closed just above $72/b. Gold also had a volatile day, dropping from a high near 1288 pre Fed to a low at 1273.50 after the meeting. The majority of the worlds markets are back in business today and expect the fallout from the Fed to continue to exert influence on flows as the day progress and conditions return to normal. The calendar is light again during the Asian time zone but risk events start to pick over the rest of the trading sessions through to the US job numbers at the end of the week. The European day kicks off with a raft of Manufacturing PMI numbers out on the continent, however the main focus will be the latest from the Bank of England later in the session. In the US, earnings season rolls on and expect more market positioning post the Fed and ahead of tomorrows Non-Farm Payrolls.

10.01.2022 Stocks Recover After Dovish Fed Minutes https://youtu.be/c4ZTIa3zYYY

09.01.2022 Another Mixed Day for Markets As US Data Beats Expectations https://youtu.be/9BjViv48AS0

09.01.2022 Markets Steady After Big Geo-Political Weekend https://youtu.be/IPZvKq-S6Mw Markets had a relatively quiet day on Friday as various geo-political risk events loomed ahead over the weekend. European elections and UK PM Theresa Mays resignation fall out were the main concerns for investors and so far both have come through largely as expected with little volatility in the markets. Both the Euro and the pound have experienced relief rallies against the greenback over the last ...couple of sessions but may find their moves limited as trade issues come back sharply in focus as this week progresses. Equity markets experienced a better day on Friday although gains were limited, the US indices all closing less than 0.5% up and US treasury yields remain under pressure with the barometer 10 year now trading near 2.32%. The Oil market found some support after experiencing its hardest week this year, WTI trading around $58.80 and Brent just above $69 as we enter the new trading week. Geo-politics are expected to continue to dominate markets this week with unsettled political situations in both the UK and Europe. The search is on for the UKs next Prime Minister and further uncertainty will add volatility to the pound with Brexit clearly the main focus for politicians. The Euro could also see sharp trading conditions as the fallout from elections hits the EU, already Greece is set to go to the polls again after the ruling Syriza party lost heavily to the New Democracy party over the weekend. President Trump is in Japan at the moment and is set for talks with PM Shinzo Abe, he has advised that a trade deal can only come after elections in July but investors will monitor a scheduled press conference later today for any details on a currency clause and US tariffs with regard to a proposed trade deal. Looking ahead to todays trading and the economic data calendar is very quiet with little on the cards in the Asian session and bank holidays in both the UK and the US. Investors are expected quiet trading conditions but will be monitoring news wires closely as geo-politics and trade concerns continue to remain relevant.

07.01.2022 Stock Markets Trading at Highs Ahead of a Big Week https://youtu.be/vACc37Hv-Qs

07.01.2022 Markets Lower in line with Cautious Investor Sentiment https://youtu.be/hO54UKld7Rg Global financial markets have calmed overnight after President Trumps tweets had created a huge jump in volatility and concerns over global growth earlier in the day. Risk still remains firmly to the downside with the latest update on the trade negotiations being that a depleted Chinese delegation will still go to Washington this week despite further comments from the US side that they intend...Continue reading

06.01.2022 1. 2. ... 3. & 3264 () https://register.gotowebinar.com/regist/6467809386017781515 https://sec.rakuten.com.au//mandarin-webinar-fx-gold-trad/

06.01.2022 Positive Earnings Push Markets Higher https://youtu.be/tfvStU4eblo

06.01.2022 Markets Recover on Fragile Optimism https://youtu.be/nrsapD-c1q0 Global stock markets recovered from the latest escalation in trade tensions between the US and China yesterday as a slight reprieve for Huawie from the US government led to investors buying into the dip. US indices finished the day well with the Nasdaq up over 1% and the S&P and Dow not far behind. The dollar continued to grind back higher but did suffer some volatility as Sterling moved sharply on new Brexit u...pdates hopes of a second referendum driving it higher before the reality of getting anything done on this subject drove it back down as quickly. Commodities remained in relatively familiar ranges with Oil drifting off and Gold once again looking weak under 1280. The stock markets are becoming more resilient to global trade concerns as the latest round of fear and recovery has showed us. Currency plays however seem to indicate further caution may warranted with risk trades under pressure. Warning signs in the Yuan, Aussie and Kiwi are all clear as they struggle to rally at all and sit vulnerably near yearly lows, only time will tell if equity players are seeing more silver lining than storm cloud in the current environment and whether they should have followed the lead from their FX counterparts. Theresa May seems to want to go down fighting all the way on Brexit as she made yet another offer to parliament in an attempt to break the long running impasse between parties. Yesterday she pledged to put her deal to second referendum if parliament approved it and initial optimism was quickly dispelled as both of the parties that she is trying to appease pushed back at the idea. We now look set for further political instability in the UK which could bring the possibility of a hard Brexit back to the fore and both scenarios will be likely see and increase in volatility and put more pressure on the pound. Looking ahead at todays trading sessions and were looking at a relatively quiet Asian session ahead, NZ retail sales has already been released and a slightly better print has done little to influence markets. The London session sees the release of the latest CPI data but once again expect Brexit considerations to continue to dominate sterling direction unless we see something well outside the 2.2% yoy expected print. On the New York open, focus will swing to Canada with the latest Retails Sales numbers and then its a long wait until the main order of the day, the latest FOMC Meeting Minutes.

04.01.2022 Stocks Smashed as China Hits Back in Trade War https://youtu.be/JgS89KYP16k Global equity markets were smashed overnight as China hit back at US tariff increases with some of its own. As anticipated, China confirmed tariff rises on a range of US goods and markets reacted strongly as the trade war escalated. US indices took the brunt of the pain with the Nasdaq down 3.41%, the S&P and Dow suffered as well closing down 2.41% and 2.38% respectively, Asian markets are expected ...to follow on with the downward momentum on their open. Haven currencies gained ground with the Jpy and Chf driving higher against the greenback and on the crosses and risk pairs continued to push lower, the Aussie down under the 0.6950 level as the Yuan fell hard. Gold jumped over 1.5%, breaking well through resistance levels as its haven status attracted more flow. Markets are reacting to escalating tensions in the trade war between the US and China and there may be some much tougher days coming. The speed of the turn around in prospects for a trade deal between the two trading superpowers has been swift and many investors will have been caught out by it. Comments coming from both sides now suggest a hardening of resolve and the buy the dip mentality that has served traders so well over the last few months will not be a winning strategy in the days and weeks ahead. Stock markets have performed tremendously well over the first four months of the year and this has been aided by central banks turning considerably more dovish on global growth concerns, now were seeing a realisation of those fears and investors will now be looking for cuts to come through sooner rather than later. Looking ahead to todays trading sessions and once again its thin on the ground in terms of fundamental data releases. Theres no tier 1 data due in Asia but market focus will swing to the UK on the London open with the employment and Earnings data due for release. Theres nothing major on the calendar in the New York session either but expect volatility to remain high as investors remain focussed on the newswires and any trade updates.

04.01.2022 Rakuten Securities Australia's COO Nick Twidale on CNBC earlier today discussing FX https://www.cnbc.com//coo-were-at-a-crucial-point-for-the-

03.01.2022 Mixed Day As Trade Concerns Still Dominate Sentiment https://youtu.be/CMI3DDcLPHA Financial markets had a relatively steady day as investors continued to digest the latest updates with regard to the global trade situation. Sentiment improved slightly as news the President Trump may delay auto tariffs for six months hit the market helping to allay fears that the US would be involved in trade wars on multiple fronts. Stock markets had another positive day across the globe alth...Continue reading

03.01.2022 Stock Markets Grind Higher With Growth Optimism https://youtu.be/NMmpLLoopaM

02.01.2022 1233 120... 1. 2. 3. & 1233 ()1236 https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/regist/6375268995367478543 https://sec.rakuten.com.au//mandarin-webinar-trading-oppo/

02.01.2022 Rakuten Securities Australia's COO Nick Twidale on CNBC yesterday..... https://www.cnbc.com//there-could-be-a-continued-appreciat

01.01.2022 Trade Concerns Continue to Dominate Market Direction https://youtu.be/81AJ7135qsE Headlines on trade negotiations and tariffs continue to dominate market sentiment as we progress through the week. Equity markets had a mixed day as the market waits for clarity on the trade negotiations starting later today in Washington, Asian indices had struggled earlier in the day but we saw a more mixed bag in the European and US sessions, the major US indices closing the day with the Nas...daq down 0.26%, the Dow down 0.16% and the S&P flat. The Yen remained bid throughout the day both against the greenback and on the crosses as currency traders continued to look for value in haven trades and the dollar continued to edge higher. Gold had continued to gain ground in the risk averse environment but dropped hard off of resistance around 1290 to close the day back around 1281. Investors will continue to monitor the news wires for updates on the trade negotiations between China and the US as the situation heats up with talks commencing later today. Concerns are still high that both sides will harden their stances, tensions will escalate, tariffs and counter tariffs will be enforced and markets will come under strong downside pressure. Comments last night from the Oval office indicate that President Trump would like to have his tariff pie and eat it with a side order of trade deal, but the Chinese team will be unlikely to allow this to happen. There is of course the chance that this weeks developments are still negotiating tactics and well see some pull back from both sides by Friday and hopes of a deal in the near future re-emerge, if this was to occur expect a strong relief rally into the weekend. Looking ahead to todays trading and there are some scheduled economic data releases due to take the focus away from the trade dispute. Chinese CPI and PPI numbers are due out in the Asian session today with the headline CPI number expected to show a slight increase at 2.5%. Its relatively quiet in the London session but early in the New York day we have both the Canadian and US Trade Balance numbers as well as the US PPI monthly print alongside comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell.

01.01.2022 Strong Data and Trade Hopes Keep Stock Markets Buoyant https://youtu.be/vfQslCYj-Gg