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Turf Deli
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25.01.2022 "Smoke and LIKELY fire incident at a third party managed data centre..." Based on a preliminary assessment ? How much expert assessment is needed to spot a fire ? if it's red, hot and ouchy then it's a fire. We were just about ready to go back to paper and bet via mail in ballot... https://www.tabcorp.com.au//update-on-tabcorp-services-out
24.01.2022 SANDOWN: SANDOWN Saturday 12/06/2021 Tips and suggested bets for Sandown 12/06/2021 Traditional HEAVY(9) track for winter racing at Sandown Hillside, which means they will probably be running on late and winning in very tough conditions. No crowds allowed, unless you are in the vaccination queue admiring the framed racing photos lining the walls. ...Continue reading
24.01.2022 CAULFIELD: UNDERWOOD STAKES 26th September 2020 Track: GOOD(4) - Weather: RAIN - Rail: OUT 6M We have serious rain forecast heading into the weekend, with large falls for Friday night and some rain again on Saturday. Caulfield has raced pretty fairly this spring, and they could win on-speed or running on out wide here last week. This week the rail is OUT 6M for this meeting, and although the track is a GOOD(4) it will almost certainly end up worse side of soft, and they ...Continue reading
23.01.2022 Don't forget to have a $1 each way on old timer LORD DURANTE on Saturday having his 100th start. Bottom of the weights and apprentice claim and likes it wet and probably not the worse $126 shot going around. Set to peak at run 100 obviously!!
23.01.2022 The MRC seem quite determined to push on with the sale of Sandown, regardless of what issues arise. They have even threatened to pull out of the Caulfield Racecourse Reserve project if they don't get what they want. "A club spokesman confirmed it was also considering pulling the reins on its plans for a $570 million sports and entertainment precinct at Caulfield Racecourse, which it also operates, if it was affected by the tax. The club loses about $5 million a year on its Sa...ndown operation." Just imagine if as much time and effort had been put into promoting and upgrading Sandown over the years? https://www.theage.com.au//state-government-windfall-tax-s
22.01.2022 We have a large form guide archive going back to the late 1980s which we will start sharing in a weekly post. Here is MAHOGANY's first start (drifted from 5-1 to 12-1!) to finish 4th, won at 5-4 by 4 lengths the start after, and his Caulfield Guineas win in 1993. We photographed a lot of the feature races and famous horses a few years back as we were going to use them on the website, but never did. If there is anything you particularly want to see, let us know. (and allow tim...e for a lot of moving of boxes for more obscure stuff) (this all started on Twitter today when someone asked for the results of a mid-week Flemington meeting from September 1992 - no problem!)
21.01.2022 FLEMINGTON: MACKINON STAKES - 7th November 2020 Race day update with tips and suggested bets for Flemington 07/11/2020 Clear day with light winds and we should get even racing, probably coming off the rails later in the day which will give those running on their chance. Looks to be a keen betting day and quite a few noticeable betting moves overnight, with horses like Race 3: 8-MORVADA, Race 5: 6-TRUE SELF and Race 8:2-FIFTY STARS coming in for good moves. Think punters are k...een to have a go today. One interesting item we didn't mention in the form preview, the Mackinnon is notorious for being won by leaders, with 7 of the last 10 winners leading, horses such as SO YOU THINK, GLASS HARMONIUM, SIDE GLANCE, GAILO CHOP, AWESOME ROCK, TRAP FOR FOOLS and MAGIC WAND winning. Fair enough the race used to be run on Derby Day where the racing pattern could favour those on speed, but even since the race was moved 3 of the last 4 winners have lead all the way. Which makes us think we need to give the 10-SHOUT THE BAR a bit of a closer look in this. As started in the tips, with the Best Roughie out swap in the Race 9: 13-MARIAMIA and make the box quinella 3,7,8,12,13. Good luck! Post your own tips below and join us today as we see if we can finish off Cup Week on a winning note. Turf Deli Form Guide: http://www.turfdeli.com.au/StakesDay2020.htm
20.01.2022 Some suggested bets for Derby and Oaks trials today at Flemington Wednesday 23/09/2020 Note that the rail is only OUT 4M today, whereas normally for this meeting the rail is well out (around 13M) and the racing pattern favours those on-speed, so we should get an even racing pattern today. There are some nice each way bets later in the day and suspect we will see a few long shots pop up into the finish in relatively big fields.... WIN: Race 3:4-THE BRUMBY ROUGH: Race 5: 10-IKNEWHEWASMINE, QUINELLA: 4,10,11,12,16 boxed EACH WAY: Race 6: 12-REUBER EACH WAY: Race 7: 12-MELODEON, QUINELLA 12#2,5,11,14 EACH WAY: Race 8: 2-TITAN BLINDERS, QUINELLA 2#8,10,17 TURF DELI WONDER BET: TRIFECTA: Race 8: 2,8 / 2,5,8,10,17/1,2,5,6,8,10,17 x $5 = 12.5% In Race 7, the 12-MELODEON looks a nice each way bet at around $10, well drawn, much better off for the last run stepping up sharply in distance and should settle on-speed here. Back each way, and anchor in a value quinella with the 2-DOGMATIC, the leader the 5-NUDGE BAR at odds who may ran a better race leading today, the frustrating 11-AFFAIR TO REMEMBER down in class, and the consistent 14-SUKOOT. In Race 8 the 2-TITAN BLINDERS is our main bet of the day at around $12, but we appreciate the short priced favourite the 8-CORDILLA is going to be hard to beat. The (2) is fitter for the two runs in, should have won at MV 1st up when couldn't get out for a while on the turn, and then chased hard behind an all the way winner last start. Will push forward here and solid track and distance stats and just looks ready to win. Back each way, and save on a quinella with the (8), the 10-EARS THE BARMAN who is racing really well and looks over the odds, and the on-speed roughie the 17-UNFAIR DISMISSAL with the apprentice claim. Worth taking a wide trifecta also with the two main chances to win and you can probably go two out on the (2) and (8) in the last leg of the quaddie if you are taking one.
20.01.2022 CAULFIELD: UNDERWOOD STAKES 26th September 2020 Tips and suggested bets for Caulfield 26/09/2020 Plenty of rain over night and track is down to a SOFT(6). Looks like it has cleared, but still a cold and windy day and they will probably be coming off the rails in the straight so don't be scared to back outside barriers and swoopers later in the day.... We still can't believe the odds on Race 8: 8-HARBOUR VIEWS in the Underwood who we had as the main danger to the favourite. We have lost one of our main bets to scratchings and our suggested quaddie has taken a whack, so substitute in 1-PRAGUE in the first leg and 8-MOZZIE MONSTER in the second leg. And still loving the odds about top pick 12-EXASPERATE in the last race to get us out for the day. Do you think 10-RUSSIAN CAMELOT is beatable in the Underwood? Post your own tips and selections below and let us know how you are going on a miserable day for a punt. Turf Deli Form Guide: http://www.turfdeli.com.au/UnderwoodStakes2020.htm
19.01.2022 From The Archives Here is MANNERISM winning the Vic Health Cup* over 1400M in 1992 on her way to win the Caulfield Cup that year. How many horses have done that? * note Rupert Clarke was patiently waiting in Race 9 for his big chance at feature race naming rights.
15.01.2022 CAULFIELD: RUPERT CLARKE STAKES 19th September 2020 Race day update with tips and suggested bets for Caulfield 19/09/2020 Remember to give us a great big care emoji to show how much you care, or make a token comment (e.g. "P" for Punt) to make sure you get notifications during the day when we post updates and to make our posts continue to appear on your newsfeed.... We are going to start posting a new section, Quaddie Tactics in the Saturday race day posts starting today. Calm weather today, although the wind is supposed to pick up later on, but we should get an even racing pattern. Few points to note, today is 30 years since the evergreen D.Oliver won his first Group 1 in the Rupert Clarke on SUBMARINER in 1990. Extraordinary effort, and sure to be lots backing his rides today, especially in the feature races. The Naturalism (MRC Foundation Cup) gives the winner entry in the Caulfield Cup, so a few will be more forward than the form suggests if they need to qualify, and note the strong support for the 3-DR DRILL in this race who fits this criteria. We thought the odds about our top pick 13-PRETTY BRAZEN were all wrong at $18 when we did the form, and she is into $13 this morning and suspect will be under $10 come race time. We have lost our Best Roughie to scratchings in Race 2, so unofficially swap in the top pick in that race the 12-MONTENEGRO MAN. Quaddie Tactics: We have already covered most of this in the suggested bets where we have taken a quaddie this week. The first and last legs look the narrow legs, and think you can narrow the first leg down to just 6-AGREEABLE, 2-ALDENSFIELD and the last leg to the two class sprinters 2-HUMMA HUMMA, 6-LYRE although maybe you could throw in a value runner like the 1-SPANISH WHISPER to have a value approximate going into the last leg. The middle legs - go wide as you can afford, that is where we need to find some $10 and $20 winners to turn this into a quaddie worth getting (we don't get out of bed for quaddies under 20%). Best of Quaddie luck to those playing. Turf Deli Form Guide: http://www.turfdeli.com.au/RupertClarkeStakes2020.htm
13.01.2022 FLEMINGTON: FLEMINGTON Saturday 05/06/2021 Tips and suggested bets for Flemington 05/06/2021 Special lockdown edition for Flemington to keep Victorians entertained during lockdown, so settle in on the couch, turn on the races and play along in the comments below. ...Continue reading
11.01.2022 Can you believe we get let out after 9pm and the TAB isn't even open ??!! We had a hot tip in the next at Newton Abbot too.
08.01.2022 From The Archives According to the form guide you could have got 20-1 about LET'S ELOPE with 50 kgs in the 1991 Turnbull Stakes. ..and then gone all up onto the Caulfield Cup, Mackinnon Stakes and Melbourne Cup. ... Perfect post-race betting tactics with the clarity of 30 years to think about it.
08.01.2022 CAULFIELD: RUPERT CLARKE STAKES 19th September 2020 Track: GOOD(4) - Weather: WINDY - Rail: OUT 3M Few showers heading into the weekend and proper rain forecast for Saturday, but that is not supposed to come through until the evening so the track should remain relatively firm. We raced on a rail TRUE track here for the Memsie and the racing pattern was even and they could run on and win so every horse should get its chance again here today. There is a bit of wind forecas...Continue reading
08.01.2022 FLEMINGTON: OAKS DAY - 5th November 2020 Race day update with tips, suggested bets and feature race preview for Flemington 05/11/2020 Bit more rain than expected and we are racing on a SOFT(5) which is probably a good thing as the track could do with some rain. Having had a night to sleep on it and look at the form guide again, still very little of interest to bet on, especially in the first half of the day. We have lost our main bet of the day to scratchings, which wasn't u...nexpected. Good luck to all connections of the Oaks runners today. Turf Deli Form Guide: http://www.turfdeli.com.au/OaksDay2020.htm
07.01.2022 MOONEE VALLEY: MOIR STAKES 25th September 2020 Tips and suggested bets for Moonee Valley Friday 25/09/2020 Join us in the comments below tonight from 5pm as we put our betting account on the line in real time with race by race bets. ... It doesn't look like we are going to get as much rain as expected and track is still a GOOD(4) and they even watered it this morning, but there is some more rain to come. If there isn't too much rain be wary of the MV night leaders pattern, and the JRA Cup in particular is famous/infamous for being won by the leader. Note the early 5pm starting time for MV night meetings to make sure we are all at home and safely in bed by the 9pm curfew reading the form guide for Saturday and dreaming of large quaddie collects. Turf Deli Form Guide: http://www.turfdeli.com.au/MoirStakes2020.htm
06.01.2022 Horses we are following at Sandown today: Race 5: 7-DASHING TYCOON E/W Race 6: 5-LADY D'ORO ROUGH Race 7: 15-INSPIRED SUN E/W QUINELLA 8,10,11,14,15 boxed... Race 8: 15-PERENNIAL E/W TURF DELI WONDER BET: PLACE: Race 3: 9-COUNTESS TESSA PLACE Race 6: 5-LADY D'ORO PLACE Race 7: 8-NIGHT GUY PLACE Race 8: 15-PERENNIAL around $800 for a $5 outlay.
06.01.2022 Who went the early crow on the magpie? Own up.
05.01.2022 This is a busy week for punters, we have the Derby and Oaks Trials tomorrow midweek at Flemington, the Moir Stakes Friday night at Moonee Valley and the Underwood Stakes Saturday at Caulfield. We will post some quick tips for Flemington tomorrow and do a full form preview for Friday night and Saturday. For those stuck in Melbourne curfew with literally nothing else better to do, we will also do race by race bets for the Friday night meeting if you want to login and play along.... The tips so far this year have an pretty abysmal strike rate, but the suggested bets are finding a value collect most weeks and are just ahead (and probably unlucky not to be well ahead with two costly head bobs the last two weeks). The feature race form preview last week was close to spot on for the Rupert Clarke Stakes and always worth a read http://www.turfdeli.com.au/RupertClarkeStakes2020.htm Spring 2020 Betting Portfolio: 6 meetings - 3 profits - 1 return - 2 wipe outs Spent: $400 Return: $412.55 Net: +$12.55
04.01.2022 FLEMINGTON: MACKINON STAKES - 7th November 2020 Track: GOOD(4) - Weather: CLOUDY - Rail: OUT 7M Hopefully we can all get back on course soon, with Victoria recording a bigger run of zeroes then we have ever managed in our tips (and that says a lot!). ... Feature race preview, tips and suggested bets for Stakes Day. Very busy punting program to finish the punting week with, so hope you can all keep up with the Betting Portfolio. Feel free to tip us the winner of the last race, 16 horses down the straight... Turf Deli Form Guide: http://www.turfdeli.com.au/StakesDay2020.htm
04.01.2022 FLEMINGTON: MAKYBE DIVA STAKES 12th September 2020 Race day post with latest updates, tips and suggested bets for Flemington Makybe Diva Stakes 12/09/2020. Really not much to report this morning, the betting markets look a little quiet and seems like everyone is holding back to see what the weather does. At the moment the track is still a GOOD(4) and it is more steady drizzle than driving rain, so we may not get as much rain as was expected and just dip into the SOFT range.... No surprise to see the Race 5: 8-SHOT OF IRISH as one of the few horses shortening up. Who do you like in an open feature race? Are you with the 13-RUSSIAN CAMELOT? Plenty of good value around for some pretty good horses. Post you own tips and selections below and comment with a P for Punt to follow notifications when we post updates in the comments. Turf Deli Form Guide: http://www.turfdeli.com.au/MakybeDivaStakes2020.htm
02.01.2022 Should we do a full preview for Sandown tomorrow? = YES, = NO and feel free to stuff up our poll in whatever way you feel appropriate.
01.01.2022 FLEMINGTON: OAKS DAY - 5th November 2020 Track: GOOD(4) - Weather: CLOUDY - Rail: OUT 5M Feature race preview with tips and suggested bets for Oaks Day.... We could try and write something to make the punting day look interesting, but to be honest, it's really not. At the very least you can pretend to work from the comfort of your own home. Turf Deli Form Guide: http://www.turfdeli.com.au/OaksDay2020.htm
01.01.2022 SANDOWN: SANDOWN CLASSIC - 14th November 2020 Track: GOOD(4) - Weather: CLOUDY - Rail: TRUE We are looking forward to Sandown and the prospect of a fully functional TAB and owners back on track, and actually we think it is a pretty decent program to have a bet. So whilst the Ring Of Steel may be gone and you all have your freedom back, don't neglect your punting chores for the weekend.... Turf Deli Form Guide: http://www.turfdeli.com.au/SandownClassic2020.htm
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