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SARSCoV2/Covid19 Victoria Updates

Locality: Melbourne, Victoria, Australia



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24.01.2022 This is the graph of new and cumulative recoveries in Victoria at the end of September 16, 2020. It is possible, either if a person was prematurely identified as having recovered, or if a case that was moved from Victoria to another state ends in a recovery, that the number of recoveries could decrease. It should be noted that while many recovered persons will no longer be infectious, this is not universally the case. Many will retain some infectivity (although at significantly lower levels than before their recovery). It is not exactly clear how many days after the onset of symptoms one ceases to be infectious at all. This will vary from person to person.



24.01.2022 This is a graph of the number of tests per new case per day at the end of September 16, 2020. The higher the number, the better.

23.01.2022 This is a graph of the number of tests per new case per day at the end of September 18, 2020. The higher the number, the better.

23.01.2022 This is the graph of daily new cases and daily new recoveries in Victoria at the end of September 17, 2020. However, it should be noted that while many recovered persons will no longer be infectious, this is not universally the case. Many will retain some infectivity (although at significantly lower levels than before their recovery). It is not exactly clear how many days after the onset of symptoms one ceases to be infectious at all. This will vary from person to person.



22.01.2022 This is the graph of new and cumulative tests in Victoria at the end of September 18, 2020.

22.01.2022 This is the graph of new and cumulative recoveries in Victoria at the end of September 15, 2020. It is possible, either if a person was prematurely identified as having recovered, or if a case that was moved from Victoria to another state ends in a recovery, that the number of recoveries could decrease. It should be noted that while many recovered persons will no longer be infectious, this is not universally the case. Many will retain some infectivity (although at significantly lower levels than before their recovery). It is not exactly clear how many days after the onset of symptoms one ceases to be infectious at all. This will vary from person to person.

22.01.2022 This is the graph of 14-day average case numbers for metropolitan Melbourne and regional Victoria at the end of September 19, 2020. The number that falls on any date is the average number of daily cases that were recorded on that date and on the 13 days before that date. The numbers for September 20 will be reported and added tomorrow, which will fill the graph to its standard 15 days.



22.01.2022 This is the graph of new and cumulative tests in Victoria at the end of September 22, 2020.

20.01.2022 This is the graph of new and cumulative tests in Victoria at the end of September 16, 2020.

20.01.2022 This is the graph of new and cumulative recoveries in Victoria at the end of September 17, 2020. It is possible, either if a person was prematurely identified as having recovered, or if a case that was moved from Victoria to another state ends in a recovery, that the number of recoveries could decrease. It should be noted that while many recovered persons will no longer be infectious, this is not universally the case. Many will retain some infectivity (although at significantly lower levels than before their recovery). It is not exactly clear how many days after the onset of symptoms one ceases to be infectious at all. This will vary from person to person.

18.01.2022 This is the graph of cumulative cases, active cases and cumulative recoveries in Victoria at the end of September 19, 2020. On this graph, active cases is calculated by subtracting cumulative recoveries and deaths (761 so far) from cumulative cases, and thus may differ from official counts. However, it should be noted that while many recovered persons will no longer be infectious, this is not universally the case. Many will retain some infectivity (although at significantly lower levels than before their recovery). It is not exactly clear how many days after the onset of symptoms one ceases to be infectious at all. This will vary from person to person.

17.01.2022 The Victorian Government has released its data for September 19, 2020: - 14 new cases were recorded. - 20042 cumulative cases have now been recorded, with 8 cases negatively reclassified. - 7 community transmissions had their source identified and were removed from the tally.... - 4267 community transmissions have now been recorded. - 12461 tests were completed. - 2,575,457 tests have been completed. - 18473 people have recovered. From comparing day-to-day numbers, I can calculate: - 890 tests were conducted per case. - 94 people recovered. - There are 808 active cases. 14-day averages are: - 36.2 for Melbourne; - 1.8 for regional Victoria; - -7 for cumulative community transmissions; - 375 for tests per case. The approximate effective reproduction numbers are: - 0.33 when calculating according to daily new cases; - 0.25 when calculating according to daily tests-per-case. Graphs will follow shortly.



16.01.2022 This is a graph of the number of tests per new case per day at the end of September 15, 2020. The higher the number, the better.

16.01.2022 This is the graph of new and cumulative cases in Victoria at the end of September 18, 2020. As some cases may later be reclassified or removed as a duplicate of another case, some days may show a cumulative case number that doesnt match the daily cases for that day.

16.01.2022 The Victorian Government has released its data for September 16, 2020: - 28 new cases were recorded. - 19970 cumulative cases have now been recorded, with 1 case reclassified. - 6 community transmissions had their source identified and were removed from the tally.... - 4272 community transmissions have now been recorded. - 14247 tests were completed. - 2,535,134 tests have been completed. - 18217 people have recovered. From comparing day-to-day numbers, I can calculate: - 508 tests were conducted per case. - 64 people recovered. - There are 1008 active cases. 14-day averages are: - 45.3 for cumulative cases; - -6.4 for cumulative community transmissions; - 301 for tests per case. The approximate effective reproduction numbers are: - 0.76 when calculating according to daily new cases; - 0.77 when calculating according to daily tests-per-case. Graphs will follow shortly.

16.01.2022 This is the graph of daily new cases and daily new recoveries in Victoria at the end of September 18, 2020. However, it should be noted that while many recovered persons will no longer be infectious, this is not universally the case. Many will retain some infectivity (although at significantly lower levels than before their recovery). It is not exactly clear how many days after the onset of symptoms one ceases to be infectious at all. This will vary from person to person.

16.01.2022 This is the graph of daily new cases and daily new recoveries in Victoria at the end of September 16, 2020. However, it should be noted that while many recovered persons will no longer be infectious, this is not universally the case. Many will retain some infectivity (although at significantly lower levels than before their recovery). It is not exactly clear how many days after the onset of symptoms one ceases to be infectious at all. This will vary from person to person.

15.01.2022 This is the graph of new and cumulative cases in Victoria at the end of September 19, 2020. As some cases may later be reclassified or removed as a duplicate of another case, some days may show a cumulative case number that doesnt match the daily cases for that day.

14.01.2022 The Victorian Government has released its data for September 18, 2020: - 21 new cases were recorded. - 20034 cumulative cases have now been recorded, with 1 case positively reclassified. - 2 community transmissions were identified.... - 4274 community transmissions have now been recorded. - 11952 tests were completed. - 2,562,996 tests have been completed. - 18379 people have recovered. From comparing day-to-day numbers, I can calculate: - 569 tests were conducted per case. - 101 people recovered. - There are 898 active cases. 14-day averages are: - 39.6 for cumulative cases; - -6.9 for cumulative community transmissions; - 332.4 for tests per case. The approximate effective reproduction numbers are: - 0.60 when calculating according to daily new cases; - 0.45 when calculating according to daily tests-per-case. Graphs will follow shortly.

14.01.2022 This is the graph of new and cumulative recoveries in Victoria at the end of September 18, 2020. It is possible, either if a person was prematurely identified as having recovered, or if a case that was moved from Victoria to another state ends in a recovery, that the number of recoveries could decrease. It should be noted that while many recovered persons will no longer be infectious, this is not universally the case. Many will retain some infectivity (although at significantly lower levels than before their recovery). It is not exactly clear how many days after the onset of symptoms one ceases to be infectious at all. This will vary from person to person.

14.01.2022 This is the graph of daily new cases and daily new recoveries in Victoria at the end of September 15, 2020. However, it should be noted that while many recovered persons will no longer be infectious, this is not universally the case. Many will retain some infectivity (although at significantly lower levels than before their recovery). It is not exactly clear how many days after the onset of symptoms one ceases to be infectious at all. This will vary from person to person.

14.01.2022 Beginning tonight I will publish graphs of 14-day averages for: - cases in metropolitan Melbourne; - cases in regional Victoria; - tests per case across the whole state.... These graphs should be read as follows: a number on a date is the average of every daily number for the most recent 14 days, including the daily number that fell on the date of the relevant average number. The graphs for 14-day averages of cases will have one empty column tonight. I publish graphs with information for the last 15 days (14 days plus a day of comparison for calculation). But that information has only been made available for the last 14 days. As of tomorrow that graph will be full.

13.01.2022 This is the graph of new and cumulative cases in Victoria at the end of September 17, 2020. As some cases may later be reclassified or removed as a duplicate of another case, some days may show a cumulative case number that doesnt match the daily cases for that day.

13.01.2022 This is a graph of the number of tests per new case per day at the end of September 19, 2020. The higher the number, the better.

12.01.2022 This is the graph of daily new cases and daily new recoveries in Victoria at the end of September 19, 2020. However, it should be noted that while many recovered persons will no longer be infectious, this is not universally the case. Many will retain some infectivity (although at significantly lower levels than before their recovery). It is not exactly clear how many days after the onset of symptoms one ceases to be infectious at all. This will vary from person to person.

11.01.2022 This is the graph of new and cumulative community transmissions in Victoria at the end of September 19, 2020. A community transmission is a transmission of unknown origin, therefore it can only be attributed to the community, rather than a specific source in the community. This graph reflects transmissions as they are identified, not as they occur or are diagnosed. Thus, as some cases may be removed from the tally if they are misidentified, or as cases will be removed if their source is identified, the cumulative case number can decrease.

06.01.2022 This is a graph of the number of tests per new case per day at the end of September 17, 2020. The higher the number, the better.

06.01.2022 This is the graph of new and cumulative cases in Victoria at the end of September 16, 2020. As some cases may later be reclassified or removed as a duplicate of another case, some days may show a cumulative case number that doesnt match the daily cases for that day.

05.01.2022 This is the graph of new and cumulative tests in Victoria at the end of September 19, 2020.

03.01.2022 This is the graph of new and cumulative recoveries in Victoria at the end of September 19, 2020. It is possible, either if a person was prematurely identified as having recovered, or if a case that was moved from Victoria to another state ends in a recovery, that the number of recoveries could decrease. It should be noted that while many recovered persons will no longer be infectious, this is not universally the case. Many will retain some infectivity (although at significantly lower levels than before their recovery). It is not exactly clear how many days after the onset of symptoms one ceases to be infectious at all. This will vary from person to person.

01.01.2022 The Victorian Government has released its data for September 17, 2020: - 45 new cases were recorded. - 20012 cumulative cases have now been recorded, with 3 cases reclassified. - 0 community transmissions were identified.... - 4272 community transmissions have now been recorded. - 15910 tests were completed. - 2,551,044 tests have been completed. - 18278 people have recovered. From comparing day-to-day numbers, I can calculate: - 378 tests were conducted per case. - 61 people recovered. - There are 984 active cases. 14-day averages are: - 42.6 for cumulative cases; - -6.9 for cumulative community transmissions; - 306.6 for tests per case. The approximate effective reproduction numbers are: - 1.1 when calculating according to daily new cases; - 1.12 when calculating according to daily tests-per-case. Graphs will follow shortly.

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