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23.01.2022 11% 8 36.3% 1, 7, 9(+10.4%)... 8 2 . (Knight Frank Research) 41 5% 9 (Knight Frank Prime Global Cities Index) 8-9 . 11%, 10.4% 10 10 . 6 11.5% 6 2 , 9.1% 10 1 . 36.3% 1 . (14.9%) (14.5%) 2-3 . (), (), () () 7 . [email protected] < , >

21.01.2022 75 % ... . . 198 . 75 % 5 (neonictinoid pesticides) . , , . (Neuchatel) (Edward Mitchell) . " . 10 . . (20-28 %) 2018 . . [email protected] < , >

21.01.2022 17% -13% -9.25 -4.9%, 19% ... . (Haberfield) (St Peters) 6 17.2% 9.2% . (-13%) (-4.9%) . (inner west) 3.2% . 19.2%, 18.3%, 16.3%, 8%, 6.7%, 4.9%, 3.9%, 2.5% . 30 . 2016 . (Rozelle) 51 . 6 0.3% . [email protected] < , >

20.01.2022 7% QBE 2020 4-7% , ... QBE 2020 7% . QBE 2017-20 (Housing Outlook Report) , , 3 4-7% . -7.2% (-4.8%) (-3.8%) (-3.2%), (-0.6%) . (8.7%) (3.2%), (2.4%) . QBE 50% . (upgraders) . 2020 0.2% . 3 (16.3%) (10.2%) (10.8%) , (7.1%) (6.9%) (2.8%) . . 10 . (GDP) . [email protected] < , >

20.01.2022 3 .. ... 3 . (Ramis Jonuzi, 36. ) (Brighton East) 25() . 3 . . $30 . . . . . . $50 . . . . [email protected] < , >

20.01.2022 2013-14 67% OECD 35 29.. 40% .... . 25 3 1 . 2013-14 20 71% 67% . (OECD) 35 29 , , , . 10 400 , (GDP) 9.5% . 25-34 1988-89 60% 2013-14 40% . . " 20 " " 20 " . OECD " " " " . (National Affordable Housing Agreement) . . " " . 20 62%(144) . ' ' " " . " 2% " . " " " 10 " .

19.01.2022 67.4% 9% 77.3% .. ... 4-5 (auction clearance rate) 67.4% 58.3% 9% . (78.8%) 10% . 4-5 1,217 1 150 . 66% . (CoreLogic) 77.3% (76.1%) . 7() 309 . 53.5%, 65.5%, 68.2% . 25,625 1 20% 4 . 66~67% . . (Petersham) 1 4 776 (reserve) 76 . (AMP Capital) 2008-09 2011-12 . (SQM Research) 2015 . , . 7 NSW (First Home Buyers Assistance Scheme) . 65 65~80 . [email protected] < , >

18.01.2022 7 1 10 5 2018 71 1 .... 150ml 3l 1 10 . " " . " , , , , , " .

18.01.2022 " 3 5 " 3.8%, 4.8%, 7.2% 2020 .... QBE 25 2017-2020 3 , , 3 5 . 8 3 0.2%, 3.8% 1. 6 2.8% . 7.2% . QBE CEO " , " . BIS 2 " " . 2017-2020 ---------------------------------------- /(2017.6)/3 ----------------------------------------- / $1,177,769 /-0.2% / $852,724 /10.2% / $550,840 /7.1% / $520,519 /2.8% / $477,206 /6.9% / $424,264 /10.8% / $645,000 /16.3% / $540,000 /-0.9% ------------------------------------------ 2017-2020 ------------------------------------------ /(2017.6)/3 ------------------------------------------ / $790,063 /-3.8% / $561,709 /-4.8% / $414,812 /-7.2% / $402,247 /-0.6% / $360,434 /3.2% / $331,317 /8.7% / $425,000 /2.4% / $470,000 /-3.2% -------------------------------------------

17.01.2022 300% , ... RMS , 300% . (Inner West Council) (Veitch Lister) . , 4 2021 200% . (Martin Street) 320% 390 . (Barton Street) (Julia Street) (Chandos Street) 250% . NSW (RMS) 2023 10% . RMS (City West Link) 40-50% , , , 20-50% . NSW 168 33km . M4 M5 1, 2 2021 . M4 M5 3 2023 . [email protected] < , >

16.01.2022 NSW, ... NSW (2003~2017) 2017 8 . NSW . 25~32 . (bank of Mum & Dad) . . . (ABS) 2036 25 1270 50% . 1 48 492 . , , . 40% 29% . 64.4% . [email protected] < , >

16.01.2022 .. 8.5% 256, 19.6% 1 ... . 24 - (HIA-CoreLogic Residential Land Report) 6 8.5% 256683 . (vacant land) 1000 HIA . . . 19.6% . 9.8%, 8%, 5% . 0.1% , 15.8% . . 70% . [email protected] < , >

16.01.2022 27% . 15-20% 10% ... 55 280 (asking prices) 55 . , . 2013-2016 . 3 0.2% . . . (Vaucluse) 27% . (Russell Lea) (Drummoyne) 15-20% . 335 280 55 . (St Peters) (Dulwich Hill) 9%, (Wentworthville) 8.6%, (Girraween) 7.9% . 8.5%, 7.9% = (Belmore) 8.5%, (Kingsgrove) 7.9% . (Connells Point) (Kurnell) (Hurstville Grove) 10% . NSW . . 70% . 1-2 . . [email protected] < , >

16.01.2022 (?) 160,500 3 ... . , , . NSW(Property Council NSW) . 5 . NSW 2016 6 30 1 16500 3 . . 5 . . 45 NSW 5 . 12 69 . . . 5 184300 . TOP Digital

14.01.2022 NSW 19.5%, 16.7% 4 ... 9 1 (Dubbo) (Wingecarribee) NSW . 10% (19.5%) (16.7%) (14%) (13.9%) (13.3%) (12.5%) (12.4%) (12.3%), -(11.8%), (10.5%) . . 9 365 9 35 4.1%, 765 75 2% . , , , , . 275 35 (Bourkelands) 3 36 . $375 . (Schubach Street) 4 315 .

13.01.2022 " " ANZ .... ANZ "" . " " 2011 , 20-34 . "" . , () . " ( ) " " " . " " . . " 2011 (constant) " . ANZ 2011 " " . "2017 21000 117000 " " NSW 7000 4, 1 48000 " . 3 " " . , " " . 20% 10 9 . " " " " . " " " , 20-34 " . ANZ , .

13.01.2022 50 2010 60 ... (AirAsia) 2010 50 . (ACCC) 3 60 . (Passenger Movement Charge) 12 . 2010 9 . 9700 . ACCC 21 . [email protected] < , >

12.01.2022 BIS 50 19612016 6556%, 8.1% ... 55 80% , 8% 1961 2016 55 6556% 8.1% . (BIS) 47 50 , 6 . (9.9%), (9.3%), (8.8%), (8.8%), (8.7%) . 50 1332% 6% . 47 (upswings) (downswings) 3 , 3 . , 80% . 8% 5. 13. , = 13 , 50 . , , , 50 . 20 7% . 40 6% . , , 32 . 8, 4. [email protected] < , >

12.01.2022 70% 18... 71 26% ... 3 70% . . (Real Capital Analytics) 2017 1-9 , , , 183 . 2016 71 , 2015 63 25-33% . (Perpetual Corporate Trust) 11 (Atchison Consultants 11th Global Real Assets Forum) . 2016 . (Dalian Wanda Group) . 8 2 . AFR( ) . ( 3 ) 2017 (GFC) . 933 2016 2109 40% . . JP . (REITs ) . . . . (capital flows) 30 8 29 . 2016 15 30 . (5.4%), (5.0%), (6.8%) . [email protected] < , >

11.01.2022 1970 1970 ?... NSW 1970 . 900 1971 ? ? 65000 . 1970 . 1977 3 32500 28 . (42500) (37000) (35000) . 1970 ? SGS domain.com.au 60 70 . . 70 80 . , , 1/3 . , CBD . 1980 1980 . . 80 90 . . 1987 . 1980 . 80% . , . 40 ? 70 . . 1979 100 . 2002 2 . 6 . 70 . : NSW

11.01.2022 3 1 UBS " 30-60% " (interest-only) 3 1 "" UBS .... UBS . 5 . . UBS . UBS , 907 23.9% 35.3% . " " . " 3 1 ( ) 30-60% " . " " . 3 1 "" . 64% 36% 2014 S&P 38% " " 2015 ME . (Homeloanexperts.com) . " " " " . 30% . . 67% " " 5000 " " . 4600 . (ASIC) 2015 "" .

10.01.2022 " " NSW .. 4 1 NSW 4 1 NSW .... 11 NSW 15400 . 2016 5 7 8% 2 6400 . 11100 . , . " " . NSW 59 34, 7 . 3 (56000) (67000) " " . " " " NSW 26% 17%, 8% " . NSW 87% . , , , . (1.6%), (1.5%), (1.3%) . 1 1 170 . 60 9 , , . " " . " " " NSW " . .

09.01.2022 ... (Bureau of Meteorology) (above-average temperatures) . 26 11 1 3 11 . . (spring heatwaves) . (La Nina) . . . . . 30() 35 23-26 . 11 3() 19 . [email protected] < , >

09.01.2022 SQM 7-12% 4-8%, 13% ... SQM 2017 (Housing Boom and Bust Report) 2018 4-8%, 7-12% . 13% . 3-7%, 5-9%. 1-4% . . 2015 2016 . 2018 . 0.2% 3-6%, 5-9% . , 2011 8% 1% 4% . [email protected] < , >

09.01.2022 , 71? .... 10 . 7 , , , 1~3 . , , 4, 5, 6 . Forex 20 , RF , 5 , , 10 . 1 1 2 57% . 1 , 26% RF( ) . 2 59% . 3 41% RF, 1 1.48. 6 . . 10% . (BRC) 2016 103 2015 5% . 54% .

09.01.2022 ASIC , 4 ASIC (AAP) ... 4 (Enron-style) (ASIC) . 2001 12 , ((Arthur Andersen) 2002 . ASIC (financial crisis) . 3 ABC . . . . 4 , KPMG, PWC, 2016 12 18 ASIC 23% . (scepticism) (challenging) . (red flag) . [email protected] < , >

09.01.2022 UBS 0~3% ... (UBS) . (Get rich or borrow trying) UBS . UBS 2017 7% 2018 3% . 9 (forever boom) . (soft landing) . . (Corelogic) 9 0.1% 2015 . 1.9% . SQM 2018 4-8% 3% . [email protected] < , >

09.01.2022 2017 9 ----------------------------------------------------- / 9 / / / ... ------------------------------------------------------- / -0.3% / -0.2% / 11.0% /1,074,552 / 0.8% / 2.0% / 13.0% / 818,436 / 0.2% / 0.5% / 4.0% / 527,802 / 0.0% / 0.5% / 5.5% / 454,900 / -0.1% / -1.6% / -2.9% / 483,124 / 2.1% / 4.0% / 15.0% / 412,340 / -2.2% / -6.3% / -1.3% / 486,045 / 0.8% / 1.5% / 9.3% / 653,139 --------------------------------------------------------- 8 / 0.2% / 0.5% / 9.0% / 684,470 --------------------------------------------------------- 2017 9 --------------------------------------------------------- / 9 / / / --------------------------------------------------------- / 0.2% / 0.9% / 9.6% / 787,812 / 1.0% / 2.1% / 9.3% / 564,540 / 0.4% / 0.1% /-2.6% / 386,793 / 0.0% / -0.8% / 1.3% / 325,945 / 0.8% / 0.3% /-2.7% / 406,813 / -0.4% / 0.4% /10.6% / 319,909 / 2.1% / 0.4% /-10.6% / 386,355 / -0.1% / 0.6% / 3.2% / 429,556 ---------------------------------------------------------- 8 / 0.5% / 1.1% / 7.2% / 577,929 ---------------------------------------------------------- ( )

08.01.2022 50 5 159 9 7 51 5 3 . ... 50 . 5 50 (suburbs) 159. 18 3 50 159 4 , 6 (Willmot) . 6 485 . 9 . 9 , 50 51 (Tregear) 51 5 40km . 9 . , (Blackett), (Mount Druitt) . (Hans Kunnen) (Compass Economics) NSW " . [email protected] < , >

08.01.2022 ..5 77 .. ... (outflows) . 23 2012~2016 5 40 (399,620) . . 5 NSW 105,060 10 . NSW 62,470. NSW 42 . NSW (28,718), (25,438), (17,572), (14,620), (10,670), (5,914), ACT(3,227), (1,305) . (-77,587) (-9,472). (-5,866), (-5,483), (-3,284), (-3,065), (-2,362) . . 27,670, 19,100 21,480, 15,570 27,670, 19,100 10,200, 8,660 76,210, 59,220 NSW 17,570 28,720 . (25,440), (14,620), (10,670), (5,910). 2016 (Sydney exodus)' . . [email protected] < , >

07.01.2022 '' , 30% 2012 50 5 2 .... , 5 455000 92 2 (102%) . 5 72% . (99%), (97.4%), (95.6%), (93.4%), (91.6%), (88%), (87.4%), (86.1%), (84.4%) . 5 20% 115000 192000 . " " . 1 . 7 28% (65 ) (80 ) . . 1 30% . 30 20% 614000 20% . , , , . 10.5% . ---------------------------------------------------- / 2012 / 2017 / ---------------------------------------------------- / 455,000 / 920,000/ 102.2% / 500,000 / 958,000/ 91.6% / 499,900 / 940,000/ 88.0% S./ 450,000 / 880,000/ 95.6% () /487,000 /912,500 / 87.4% / 453,000 /876,000 / 93.4% / 485,000 / 902,500 / 86.1% / 490,000 / 903,500 / 84.4% / 415,000 / 826,000 / 99.0% / 420,000 / 829,000 / 97.4% -------------------------------------------------------

07.01.2022 (?) 160,500 3 ... . ‘’ , , . NSW(Property Council NSW) . 5 . NSW 2016 6 30 1 16500 3 . . 5 . . 45 NSW 5 . 12 69 . . . 5 184300 . TOP Digital

06.01.2022 2 5 , ... 6066 2000 5 8 . 1 (Neville Crichton) (Point Piper) (Andy Wenlei Song) 6066 . 2015 (Georgina Black) (Telereal Trillium) (Graham Edwards) 2700 . NSW . 7 4% 8% 2 . (FIRB) (Warrawee) (Springfields) 1200 . [email protected] < , >

05.01.2022 ... . 24 (PC) . 500 30% 25% 240 . 240 (tax island) . . , . [email protected] < , >

05.01.2022 2 ‘ 5 , ... 6066 2000 5 8 . 1 (Neville Crichton) (Point Piper) (Andy Wenlei Song) 6066 . 2015 (Georgina Black) (Telereal Trillium) (Graham Edwards) 2700 . NSW . 7 4% 8% 2 . (FIRB) (Warrawee) (Springfields) 1200 . [email protected] < , >

05.01.2022 '' 33.3%, 40.6%, NSW 38.7%... NSW (rental bond) 3 1 . . 2017 6 573353 1 30 33.3%, NSW 38.7% NSW . . , 40.6% 24.9% . . " , " . " " , . NSW . 2016-17 ---------------------------------- / ---------------------------------- / 40.61% / 38.05% / 37.79% / 37.21% / 36.99% / 36.49% / 36.31% / 35.98% / 35.36% / 35.11% / 34.89% / 34.77% / 34.66% / 34.64% / 34.49% / 34.43% / 34.37% / 34.17% / 33.65% / 33.2% / 33.05% / 32.98% / 32.65% / 32.18% / 32.1% / 31.85% / 31.8% /31.78% / 31.63% / 31.34% / 30.97% / 30.94% / 30.63% /30.14% / 29.77% / 29.69% / 29.11% / 28.09% / 25.71% / 24.94% --------------------------

04.01.2022 17 9 8 0.3% 0.1% 1.7%, 0.9%, 0.3% ... 9 8 8 17 . 2 8 9 0.3%, 0.7%, 8.5% . 8 0.1%( 0.6%, 9.7%) . 9 1.7%, 3.4%, 14.3% 2004 13 . 9 0.9%, 2.0%, 12.1% . . ( 0.6%, 1.3%, 7.8%) ( 0.3%, 0.5%, 2.9%) . 9 0.1% 17 0.2% 2016 . 8 ( 0.3%) . 8 13.0% 10.5% . " 9 " . " 9 0.3%, 0.2% . 9 0.2% " . - " . . 29 " . 9 ( ) 0.7% 2016 3.5% . 2017 2018 . . 3 2.4% NSW 1.6% . NSW . 9 .

01.01.2022 " " " 2 " 100 .... () . 1980 2000 3 134000 NSW . " 2 NSW " " " . . 194% . (GDP) . 25% 81 . . 81 10% . 100 . . (cash cow) . 150 . 3000 . 2013 .

01.01.2022 , 1960 . (BIS) 47 .... BIS 47 , 80% . . 13. . 47 8% , 5 . 13 . , 55 8.1% 6556% 1961 2016 55 8.1% . 6 1961 6556% . 47 1332% 13 . 66 7726% . . . . ? ? BIS . 45 20 7% , . , , 3 . . 60 . " " . , . ? APRA 3 . . BIS , 5 . . (: AAP Image/Sam Mooy. 10 .) TOP Digital